Amg Yacktman Special Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.23
| YASSX Fund | USD 11.25 0.08 0.72% |
Amg |
Amg Yacktman Target Price Odds to finish over 11.23
The tendency of Amg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.23 in 90 days |
| 11.25 | 90 days | 11.23 | about 46.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amg Yacktman to stay above $ 11.23 in 90 days from now is about 46.68 (This Amg Yacktman Special probability density function shows the probability of Amg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amg Yacktman Special price to stay between $ 11.23 and its current price of $11.25 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amg Yacktman has a beta of 0.0341. This entails as returns on the market go up, Amg Yacktman average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amg Yacktman Special will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amg Yacktman Special has an alpha of 0.0091, implying that it can generate a 0.009075 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amg Yacktman Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amg Yacktman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amg Yacktman Special. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amg Yacktman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amg Yacktman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amg Yacktman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amg Yacktman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amg Yacktman Special, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amg Yacktman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Amg Yacktman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amg Yacktman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amg Yacktman Special can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Amg Yacktman Special keeps about 6.67% of its net assets in cash |
Amg Yacktman Technical Analysis
Amg Yacktman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amg Yacktman Special. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amg Yacktman Predictive Forecast Models
Amg Yacktman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amg Yacktman's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amg Yacktman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amg Yacktman Special
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amg Yacktman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amg Yacktman Special help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Amg Yacktman Special keeps about 6.67% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund
Amg Yacktman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg Yacktman security.
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