Atom Hoteles (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.62

YATO Stock  EUR 13.90  0.10  0.71%   
Atom Hoteles' future price is the expected price of Atom Hoteles instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atom Hoteles Socimi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atom Hoteles Backtesting, Atom Hoteles Valuation, Atom Hoteles Correlation, Atom Hoteles Hype Analysis, Atom Hoteles Volatility, Atom Hoteles History as well as Atom Hoteles Performance.
  
Please specify Atom Hoteles' target price for which you would like Atom Hoteles odds to be computed.

Atom Hoteles Target Price Odds to finish over 13.62

The tendency of Atom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 13.62  in 90 days
 13.90 90 days 13.62 
about 25.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atom Hoteles to stay above € 13.62  in 90 days from now is about 25.86 (This Atom Hoteles Socimi probability density function shows the probability of Atom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atom Hoteles Socimi price to stay between € 13.62  and its current price of €13.9 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atom Hoteles Socimi has a beta of -1.25. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Atom Hoteles Socimi are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Atom Hoteles is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Atom Hoteles Socimi has an alpha of 0.7991, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atom Hoteles Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atom Hoteles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atom Hoteles Socimi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4913.9019.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.8011.2116.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1214.5319.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9313.9914.05
Details

Atom Hoteles Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atom Hoteles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atom Hoteles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atom Hoteles Socimi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atom Hoteles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.25
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Atom Hoteles Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atom Hoteles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atom Hoteles Socimi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atom Hoteles Socimi is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atom Hoteles Socimi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Atom Hoteles Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atom Hoteles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atom Hoteles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.3 M

Atom Hoteles Technical Analysis

Atom Hoteles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atom Hoteles Socimi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atom Hoteles Predictive Forecast Models

Atom Hoteles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Atom Hoteles' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atom Hoteles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atom Hoteles Socimi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atom Hoteles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atom Hoteles Socimi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atom Hoteles Socimi is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Atom Hoteles Socimi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Atom Stock

Atom Hoteles financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atom with respect to the benefits of owning Atom Hoteles security.