Ybox Real (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.42

YBOX Stock  ILS 92.70  0.30  0.32%   
Ybox Real's future price is the expected price of Ybox Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ybox Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ybox Real Backtesting, Ybox Real Valuation, Ybox Real Correlation, Ybox Real Hype Analysis, Ybox Real Volatility, Ybox Real History as well as Ybox Real Performance.
  
Please specify Ybox Real's target price for which you would like Ybox Real odds to be computed.

Ybox Real Target Price Odds to finish below 90.42

The tendency of Ybox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 90.42  or more in 90 days
 92.70 90 days 90.42 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ybox Real to drop to S 90.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Ybox Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Ybox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ybox Real Estate price to stay between S 90.42  and its current price of S92.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ybox Real has a beta of 0.38. This entails as returns on the market go up, Ybox Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ybox Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ybox Real Estate has an alpha of 0.2009, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ybox Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ybox Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ybox Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.4292.7094.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.4396.1198.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.3391.6293.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.8883.5998.29
Details

Ybox Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ybox Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ybox Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ybox Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ybox Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
5.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Ybox Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ybox Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ybox Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ybox Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Ybox Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ybox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ybox Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ybox Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding241.9 M

Ybox Real Technical Analysis

Ybox Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ybox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ybox Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ybox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ybox Real Predictive Forecast Models

Ybox Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ybox Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ybox Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ybox Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ybox Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ybox Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ybox Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ybox Stock

Ybox Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ybox Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ybox with respect to the benefits of owning Ybox Real security.