Fidere Patrimonio (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.92

YFID Stock  EUR 30.60  0.00  0.00%   
Fidere Patrimonio's future price is the expected price of Fidere Patrimonio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidere Patrimonio Backtesting, Fidere Patrimonio Valuation, Fidere Patrimonio Correlation, Fidere Patrimonio Hype Analysis, Fidere Patrimonio Volatility, Fidere Patrimonio History as well as Fidere Patrimonio Performance.
  
Please specify Fidere Patrimonio's target price for which you would like Fidere Patrimonio odds to be computed.

Fidere Patrimonio Target Price Odds to finish over 33.92

The tendency of Fidere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 33.92  or more in 90 days
 30.60 90 days 33.92 
about 61.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidere Patrimonio to move over € 33.92  or more in 90 days from now is about 61.66 (This Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI probability density function shows the probability of Fidere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI price to stay between its current price of € 30.60  and € 33.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has a beta of -0.63. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidere Patrimonio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fidere Patrimonio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidere Patrimonio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2330.6033.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7328.1031.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8528.2231.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.6030.6030.60
Details

Fidere Patrimonio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidere Patrimonio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidere Patrimonio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidere Patrimonio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
5.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Fidere Patrimonio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidere Patrimonio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidere Patrimonio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidere Patrimonio has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has accumulated 516.8 M in total debt. Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fidere Patrimonio until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fidere Patrimonio's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fidere to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fidere Patrimonio's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Fidere Patrimonio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidere Patrimonio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidere Patrimonio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.1 M

Fidere Patrimonio Technical Analysis

Fidere Patrimonio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidere Patrimonio Predictive Forecast Models

Fidere Patrimonio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidere Patrimonio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidere Patrimonio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidere Patrimonio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidere Patrimonio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidere Patrimonio has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has accumulated 516.8 M in total debt. Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fidere Patrimonio until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fidere Patrimonio's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fidere Patrimonio SOCIMI sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fidere to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fidere Patrimonio's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fidere Stock

Fidere Patrimonio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidere Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidere with respect to the benefits of owning Fidere Patrimonio security.