Yggdrazil Group (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.79

YGG Stock  THB 0.64  0.05  8.47%   
Yggdrazil Group's future price is the expected price of Yggdrazil Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yggdrazil Group Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yggdrazil Group Backtesting, Yggdrazil Group Valuation, Yggdrazil Group Correlation, Yggdrazil Group Hype Analysis, Yggdrazil Group Volatility, Yggdrazil Group History as well as Yggdrazil Group Performance.
  
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Yggdrazil Group Target Price Odds to finish over 13.79

The tendency of Yggdrazil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.79  or more in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 13.79 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yggdrazil Group to move over  13.79  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Yggdrazil Group Public probability density function shows the probability of Yggdrazil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yggdrazil Group Public price to stay between its current price of  0.64  and  13.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yggdrazil Group Public has a beta of -0.29. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yggdrazil Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yggdrazil Group Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yggdrazil Group Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yggdrazil Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yggdrazil Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yggdrazil Group Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.645.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.635.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.725.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.590.65
Details

Yggdrazil Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yggdrazil Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yggdrazil Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yggdrazil Group Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yggdrazil Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Yggdrazil Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yggdrazil Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yggdrazil Group Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yggdrazil Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yggdrazil Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Yggdrazil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Yggdrazil Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yggdrazil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yggdrazil Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yggdrazil Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding706.8 M

Yggdrazil Group Technical Analysis

Yggdrazil Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yggdrazil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yggdrazil Group Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yggdrazil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yggdrazil Group Predictive Forecast Models

Yggdrazil Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yggdrazil Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yggdrazil Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yggdrazil Group Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yggdrazil Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yggdrazil Group Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yggdrazil Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yggdrazil Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Yggdrazil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Yggdrazil Stock

Yggdrazil Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yggdrazil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yggdrazil with respect to the benefits of owning Yggdrazil Group security.