Grupo Ortiz (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.7

YGOP Stock  EUR 15.70  0.50  3.29%   
Grupo Ortiz's future price is the expected price of Grupo Ortiz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grupo Ortiz Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grupo Ortiz Backtesting, Grupo Ortiz Valuation, Grupo Ortiz Correlation, Grupo Ortiz Hype Analysis, Grupo Ortiz Volatility, Grupo Ortiz History as well as Grupo Ortiz Performance.
  
Please specify Grupo Ortiz's target price for which you would like Grupo Ortiz odds to be computed.

Grupo Ortiz Target Price Odds to finish over 15.7

The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.70 90 days 15.70 
about 16.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Ortiz to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.71 (This Grupo Ortiz Properties probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Ortiz has a beta of 0.0965. This entails as returns on the market go up, Grupo Ortiz average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Ortiz Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grupo Ortiz Properties has an alpha of 0.0336, implying that it can generate a 0.0336 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grupo Ortiz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grupo Ortiz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Ortiz Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7715.7016.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2715.2016.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8715.8016.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.3215.6415.95
Details

Grupo Ortiz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Ortiz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Ortiz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Ortiz Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Ortiz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Grupo Ortiz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Ortiz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Ortiz Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €65.89 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Grupo Ortiz Properties has accumulated 65.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 63.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Grupo Ortiz Properties has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grupo Ortiz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grupo Ortiz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grupo Ortiz Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grupo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grupo Ortiz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Grupo Ortiz outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Grupo Ortiz Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Ortiz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Ortiz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M

Grupo Ortiz Technical Analysis

Grupo Ortiz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Ortiz Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grupo Ortiz Predictive Forecast Models

Grupo Ortiz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Ortiz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Ortiz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grupo Ortiz Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Ortiz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Ortiz Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €65.89 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Grupo Ortiz Properties has accumulated 65.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 63.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Grupo Ortiz Properties has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grupo Ortiz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grupo Ortiz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grupo Ortiz Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grupo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grupo Ortiz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Grupo Ortiz outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock

Grupo Ortiz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Ortiz security.