Yihai International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.36
| YIR Stock | EUR 1.96 0.04 2.00% |
Yihai |
Yihai International Target Price Odds to finish over 13.36
The tendency of Yihai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 13.36 or more in 90 days |
| 1.96 | 90 days | 13.36 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yihai International to move over € 13.36 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Yihai International Holding probability density function shows the probability of Yihai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yihai International price to stay between its current price of € 1.96 and € 13.36 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yihai International has a beta of 0.56. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yihai International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yihai International Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yihai International Holding has an alpha of 0.7345, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yihai International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yihai International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yihai International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yihai International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yihai International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yihai International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yihai International Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yihai International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Yihai International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yihai International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yihai International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yihai International may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Yihai International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Yihai International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yihai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yihai International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yihai International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Yihai International Technical Analysis
Yihai International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yihai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yihai International Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yihai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yihai International Predictive Forecast Models
Yihai International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yihai International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yihai International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yihai International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yihai International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yihai International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yihai International may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Yihai International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Yihai Stock
Yihai International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yihai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yihai with respect to the benefits of owning Yihai International security.