Yellow Pages (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.73

YMI Stock  EUR 7.50  0.15  1.96%   
Yellow Pages' future price is the expected price of Yellow Pages instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yellow Pages Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yellow Pages Backtesting, Yellow Pages Valuation, Yellow Pages Correlation, Yellow Pages Hype Analysis, Yellow Pages Volatility, Yellow Pages History as well as Yellow Pages Performance.
  
Please specify Yellow Pages' target price for which you would like Yellow Pages odds to be computed.

Yellow Pages Target Price Odds to finish below 6.73

The tendency of Yellow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 6.73  or more in 90 days
 7.50 90 days 6.73 
about 66.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yellow Pages to drop to € 6.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 66.63 (This Yellow Pages Limited probability density function shows the probability of Yellow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yellow Pages Limited price to stay between € 6.73  and its current price of €7.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yellow Pages has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yellow Pages average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yellow Pages Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yellow Pages Limited has an alpha of 0.297, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yellow Pages Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yellow Pages

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yellow Pages Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.907.509.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.878.4710.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.857.459.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.826.867.90
Details

Yellow Pages Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yellow Pages is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yellow Pages' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yellow Pages Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yellow Pages within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Yellow Pages Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yellow Pages for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yellow Pages Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Pages Limited has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Yellow Pages Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yellow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yellow Pages' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yellow Pages' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.7 M
Dividends Paid14.2 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.42
Shares Float6.7 M

Yellow Pages Technical Analysis

Yellow Pages' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yellow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yellow Pages Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yellow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yellow Pages Predictive Forecast Models

Yellow Pages' time-series forecasting models is one of many Yellow Pages' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yellow Pages' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yellow Pages Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yellow Pages for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yellow Pages Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yellow Pages Limited has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Yellow Stock

Yellow Pages financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yellow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yellow with respect to the benefits of owning Yellow Pages security.