Mistral Patrimonio (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04

YMPI Stock   0.88  1.01  53.44%   
Mistral Patrimonio's future price is the expected price of Mistral Patrimonio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mistral Patrimonio Backtesting, Mistral Patrimonio Valuation, Mistral Patrimonio Correlation, Mistral Patrimonio Hype Analysis, Mistral Patrimonio Volatility, Mistral Patrimonio History as well as Mistral Patrimonio Performance.
  
Please specify Mistral Patrimonio's target price for which you would like Mistral Patrimonio odds to be computed.

Mistral Patrimonio Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04

The tendency of Mistral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.88 90 days 0.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mistral Patrimonio to drop to  0.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario probability density function shows the probability of Mistral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mistral Patrimonio price to stay between  0.04  and its current price of 0.88 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario has a beta of -1.81. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Mistral Patrimonio is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario has an alpha of 0.2797, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mistral Patrimonio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mistral Patrimonio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mistral Patrimonio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0017.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0017.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.1918.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.871.682.49
Details

Mistral Patrimonio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mistral Patrimonio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mistral Patrimonio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mistral Patrimonio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.81
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.0034

Mistral Patrimonio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mistral Patrimonio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mistral Patrimonio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mistral Patrimonio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Mistral Patrimonio has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mistral Patrimonio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Mistral Patrimonio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mistral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mistral Patrimonio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mistral Patrimonio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M

Mistral Patrimonio Technical Analysis

Mistral Patrimonio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mistral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mistral Patrimonio Inmobiliario. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mistral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mistral Patrimonio Predictive Forecast Models

Mistral Patrimonio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mistral Patrimonio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mistral Patrimonio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mistral Patrimonio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mistral Patrimonio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mistral Patrimonio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mistral Patrimonio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Mistral Patrimonio has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mistral Patrimonio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mistral Stock

Mistral Patrimonio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mistral Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mistral with respect to the benefits of owning Mistral Patrimonio security.