Yokogawa Electric Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 47.59

YOKEY Stock  USD 45.04  0.42  0.92%   
Yokogawa Electric's future price is the expected price of Yokogawa Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yokogawa Electric Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yokogawa Electric Backtesting, Yokogawa Electric Valuation, Yokogawa Electric Correlation, Yokogawa Electric Hype Analysis, Yokogawa Electric Volatility, Yokogawa Electric History as well as Yokogawa Electric Performance.
  
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Yokogawa Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 47.59

The tendency of Yokogawa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 47.59  or more in 90 days
 45.04 90 days 47.59 
about 49.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yokogawa Electric to move over $ 47.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.43 (This Yokogawa Electric Corp probability density function shows the probability of Yokogawa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yokogawa Electric Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 45.04  and $ 47.59  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yokogawa Electric has a beta of 0.26. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yokogawa Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yokogawa Electric Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yokogawa Electric Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yokogawa Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yokogawa Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yokogawa Electric Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yokogawa Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.8145.0447.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.5738.8049.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.0448.2750.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.2045.5648.93
Details

Yokogawa Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yokogawa Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yokogawa Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yokogawa Electric Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yokogawa Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Yokogawa Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yokogawa Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yokogawa Electric Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yokogawa Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Yokogawa Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yokogawa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yokogawa Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yokogawa Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments117.7 B

Yokogawa Electric Technical Analysis

Yokogawa Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yokogawa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yokogawa Electric Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yokogawa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yokogawa Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Yokogawa Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yokogawa Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yokogawa Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yokogawa Electric Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yokogawa Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yokogawa Electric Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yokogawa Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Yokogawa Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Yokogawa Electric's price analysis, check to measure Yokogawa Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yokogawa Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Yokogawa Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yokogawa Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yokogawa Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yokogawa Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.