SRI TRANG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.87

YTAA Stock  EUR 0.43  0.01  2.38%   
SRI TRANG's future price is the expected price of SRI TRANG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SRI TRANG AGR FOR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SRI TRANG Backtesting, SRI TRANG Valuation, SRI TRANG Correlation, SRI TRANG Hype Analysis, SRI TRANG Volatility, SRI TRANG History as well as SRI TRANG Performance.
  
Please specify SRI TRANG's target price for which you would like SRI TRANG odds to be computed.

SRI TRANG Target Price Odds to finish over 3.87

The tendency of SRI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.87  or more in 90 days
 0.43 90 days 3.87 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SRI TRANG to move over € 3.87  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SRI TRANG AGR FOR probability density function shows the probability of SRI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SRI TRANG AGR price to stay between its current price of € 0.43  and € 3.87  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SRI TRANG AGR FOR has a beta of -0.0476. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SRI TRANG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SRI TRANG AGR FOR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SRI TRANG AGR FOR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SRI TRANG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SRI TRANG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SRI TRANG AGR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.433.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.403.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.383.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.410.430.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SRI TRANG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SRI TRANG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SRI TRANG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SRI TRANG AGR.

SRI TRANG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SRI TRANG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SRI TRANG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SRI TRANG AGR FOR , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SRI TRANG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

SRI TRANG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SRI TRANG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SRI TRANG AGR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SRI TRANG AGR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SRI TRANG AGR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SRI TRANG AGR has high historical volatility and very poor performance

SRI TRANG Technical Analysis

SRI TRANG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SRI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SRI TRANG AGR FOR . In general, you should focus on analyzing SRI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SRI TRANG Predictive Forecast Models

SRI TRANG's time-series forecasting models is one of many SRI TRANG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SRI TRANG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SRI TRANG AGR

Checking the ongoing alerts about SRI TRANG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SRI TRANG AGR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SRI TRANG AGR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SRI TRANG AGR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
SRI TRANG AGR has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in SRI Stock

SRI TRANG financial ratios help investors to determine whether SRI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SRI with respect to the benefits of owning SRI TRANG security.