Yunsa Yunlu (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.29

YUNSA Stock  TRY 6.43  0.10  1.58%   
Yunsa Yunlu's future price is the expected price of Yunsa Yunlu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yunsa Yunlu Backtesting, Yunsa Yunlu Valuation, Yunsa Yunlu Correlation, Yunsa Yunlu Hype Analysis, Yunsa Yunlu Volatility, Yunsa Yunlu History as well as Yunsa Yunlu Performance.
  
Please specify Yunsa Yunlu's target price for which you would like Yunsa Yunlu odds to be computed.

Yunsa Yunlu Target Price Odds to finish below 6.29

The tendency of Yunsa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6.29  or more in 90 days
 6.43 90 days 6.29 
about 30.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yunsa Yunlu to drop to  6.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.72 (This Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Yunsa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi price to stay between  6.29  and its current price of 6.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yunsa Yunlu has a beta of 0.22. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yunsa Yunlu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yunsa Yunlu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yunsa Yunlu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.336.438.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.196.298.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.676.778.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.926.276.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yunsa Yunlu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yunsa Yunlu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yunsa Yunlu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi.

Yunsa Yunlu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yunsa Yunlu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yunsa Yunlu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yunsa Yunlu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Yunsa Yunlu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yunsa Yunlu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Yunsa Yunlu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yunsa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yunsa Yunlu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yunsa Yunlu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.2 M

Yunsa Yunlu Technical Analysis

Yunsa Yunlu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yunsa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yunsa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yunsa Yunlu Predictive Forecast Models

Yunsa Yunlu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yunsa Yunlu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yunsa Yunlu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yunsa Yunlu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yunsa Yunlu Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Yunsa Stock

Yunsa Yunlu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yunsa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yunsa with respect to the benefits of owning Yunsa Yunlu security.