Yxtcom Group Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.05
| YXT Stock | 2.74 0.25 8.36% |
YXTCOM |
YXTCOM GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 2.05
The tendency of YXTCOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.05 or more in 90 days |
| 2.74 | 90 days | 2.05 | about 20.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YXTCOM GROUP to drop to 2.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.24 (This YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING probability density function shows the probability of YXTCOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING price to stay between 2.05 and its current price of 2.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This entails YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, YXTCOM GROUP is expected to follow. Additionally YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. YXTCOM GROUP Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for YXTCOM GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YXTCOM GROUP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
YXTCOM GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YXTCOM GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YXTCOM GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YXTCOM GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
YXTCOM GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YXTCOM GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 424.02 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (220.46 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 229.54 M. | |
| YXTCOM GROUP generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YXT.com Group Holding Limited to Announce Financial Results for the First Nine Months of 2024 ... |
YXTCOM GROUP Technical Analysis
YXTCOM GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YXTCOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING. In general, you should focus on analyzing YXTCOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
YXTCOM GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
YXTCOM GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many YXTCOM GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YXTCOM GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING
Checking the ongoing alerts about YXTCOM GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 424.02 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (220.46 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 229.54 M. | |
| YXTCOM GROUP generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YXT.com Group Holding Limited to Announce Financial Results for the First Nine Months of 2024 ... |
Additional Tools for YXTCOM Stock Analysis
When running YXTCOM GROUP's price analysis, check to measure YXTCOM GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy YXTCOM GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of YXTCOM GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of YXTCOM GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move YXTCOM GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of YXTCOM GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.