Yesil Yapi (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.74

YYAPI Stock  TRY 4.85  0.13  2.61%   
Yesil Yapi's future price is the expected price of Yesil Yapi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yesil Yapi Endustrisi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yesil Yapi Backtesting, Yesil Yapi Valuation, Yesil Yapi Correlation, Yesil Yapi Hype Analysis, Yesil Yapi Volatility, Yesil Yapi History as well as Yesil Yapi Performance.
  
Please specify Yesil Yapi's target price for which you would like Yesil Yapi odds to be computed.

Yesil Yapi Target Price Odds to finish over 7.74

The tendency of Yesil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  7.74  or more in 90 days
 4.85 90 days 7.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yesil Yapi to move over  7.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yesil Yapi Endustrisi probability density function shows the probability of Yesil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yesil Yapi Endustrisi price to stay between its current price of  4.85  and  7.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yesil Yapi has a beta of 0.0145. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yesil Yapi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yesil Yapi Endustrisi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yesil Yapi Endustrisi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yesil Yapi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yesil Yapi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yesil Yapi Endustrisi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.964.857.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.144.036.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.275.168.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.794.915.03
Details

Yesil Yapi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yesil Yapi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yesil Yapi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yesil Yapi Endustrisi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yesil Yapi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Yesil Yapi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yesil Yapi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yesil Yapi Endustrisi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yesil Yapi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yesil Yapi Endustrisi has accumulated 5.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Yesil Yapi Endustrisi has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yesil Yapi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yesil Yapi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yesil Yapi Endustrisi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yesil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yesil Yapi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of Yesil Yapi outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Yesil Yapi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yesil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yesil Yapi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yesil Yapi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding232.7 M

Yesil Yapi Technical Analysis

Yesil Yapi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yesil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yesil Yapi Endustrisi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yesil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yesil Yapi Predictive Forecast Models

Yesil Yapi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yesil Yapi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yesil Yapi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yesil Yapi Endustrisi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yesil Yapi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yesil Yapi Endustrisi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yesil Yapi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yesil Yapi Endustrisi has accumulated 5.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Yesil Yapi Endustrisi has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Yesil Yapi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Yesil Yapi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Yesil Yapi Endustrisi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Yesil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Yesil Yapi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of Yesil Yapi outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Yesil Stock

Yesil Yapi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yesil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yesil with respect to the benefits of owning Yesil Yapi security.