Yanzhou Coal Mining Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 13.43

YZCHF Stock  USD 1.35  0.00  0.00%   
Yanzhou Coal's future price is the expected price of Yanzhou Coal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yanzhou Coal Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yanzhou Coal Backtesting, Yanzhou Coal Valuation, Yanzhou Coal Correlation, Yanzhou Coal Hype Analysis, Yanzhou Coal Volatility, Yanzhou Coal History as well as Yanzhou Coal Performance.
  
Please specify Yanzhou Coal's target price for which you would like Yanzhou Coal odds to be computed.

Yanzhou Coal Target Price Odds to finish over 13.43

The tendency of Yanzhou OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.43  or more in 90 days
 1.35 90 days 13.43 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yanzhou Coal to move over $ 13.43  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Yanzhou Coal Mining probability density function shows the probability of Yanzhou OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yanzhou Coal Mining price to stay between its current price of $ 1.35  and $ 13.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yanzhou Coal Mining has a beta of -0.49. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yanzhou Coal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yanzhou Coal Mining is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yanzhou Coal Mining has an alpha of 0.2029, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yanzhou Coal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yanzhou Coal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yanzhou Coal Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.355.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.125.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.345.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.341.351.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yanzhou Coal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yanzhou Coal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yanzhou Coal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yanzhou Coal Mining.

Yanzhou Coal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yanzhou Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yanzhou Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yanzhou Coal Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yanzhou Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Yanzhou Coal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yanzhou Coal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yanzhou Coal Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yanzhou Coal Mining may become a speculative penny stock
Yanzhou Coal Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Yanzhou Coal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yanzhou OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yanzhou Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yanzhou Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 B

Yanzhou Coal Technical Analysis

Yanzhou Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yanzhou OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yanzhou Coal Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yanzhou OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yanzhou Coal Predictive Forecast Models

Yanzhou Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yanzhou Coal's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yanzhou Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yanzhou Coal Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yanzhou Coal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yanzhou Coal Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yanzhou Coal Mining may become a speculative penny stock
Yanzhou Coal Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Yanzhou OTC Stock

Yanzhou Coal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yanzhou OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yanzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Yanzhou Coal security.