Zalando SE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.36
| ZAL Stock | 29.42 0.42 1.45% |
Zalando |
Zalando SE Target Price Odds to finish over 32.36
The tendency of Zalando Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 32.36 or more in 90 days |
| 29.42 | 90 days | 32.36 | roughly 2.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zalando SE to move over 32.36 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.82 (This Zalando SE probability density function shows the probability of Zalando Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zalando SE price to stay between its current price of 29.42 and 32.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zalando SE has a beta of 0.43. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zalando SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zalando SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zalando SE has an alpha of 0.3072, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zalando SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zalando SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zalando SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zalando SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Zalando SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zalando SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zalando SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zalando SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zalando SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Zalando SE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zalando SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zalando SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Zalando SE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zalando Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zalando SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zalando SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 265 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Zalando SE Technical Analysis
Zalando SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zalando Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zalando SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zalando Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zalando SE Predictive Forecast Models
Zalando SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zalando SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zalando SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zalando SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zalando SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zalando SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Zalando Stock Analysis
When running Zalando SE's price analysis, check to measure Zalando SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zalando SE is operating at the current time. Most of Zalando SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zalando SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zalando SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zalando SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.