Zegona Communications (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 317.8
| ZEG Stock | 348.00 4.00 1.14% |
Zegona |
Zegona Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 317.8
The tendency of Zegona Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 317.80 or more in 90 days |
| 348.00 | 90 days | 317.80 | about 11.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zegona Communications to drop to 317.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.46 (This Zegona Communications Plc probability density function shows the probability of Zegona Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zegona Communications Plc price to stay between 317.80 and its current price of 348.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zegona Communications has a beta of 0.72. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zegona Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zegona Communications Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zegona Communications Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Zegona Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zegona Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zegona Communications Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zegona Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zegona Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zegona Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zegona Communications Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zegona Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Zegona Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zegona Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zegona Communications Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Net Loss for the year was (15.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Zegona Communications generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Zegona Communications have seen splendid returns of 255 percent over the past five years - Yahoo Finance UK |
Zegona Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zegona Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zegona Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zegona Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Zegona Communications Technical Analysis
Zegona Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zegona Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zegona Communications Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zegona Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zegona Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Zegona Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Zegona Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zegona Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zegona Communications Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zegona Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zegona Communications Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Net Loss for the year was (15.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Zegona Communications generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Zegona Communications have seen splendid returns of 255 percent over the past five years - Yahoo Finance UK |
Other Information on Investing in Zegona Stock
Zegona Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zegona Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zegona with respect to the benefits of owning Zegona Communications security.