Bmo Government Bond Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 46.51
| ZGB Etf | CAD 45.38 0.01 0.02% |
BMO |
BMO Government Target Price Odds to finish below 46.51
The tendency of BMO Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 46.51 after 90 days |
| 45.38 | 90 days | 46.51 | about 90.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BMO Government to stay under C$ 46.51 after 90 days from now is about 90.8 (This BMO Government Bond probability density function shows the probability of BMO Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BMO Government Bond price to stay between its current price of C$ 45.38 and C$ 46.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMO Government Bond has a beta of -0.0297. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BMO Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BMO Government Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BMO Government Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BMO Government Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BMO Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BMO Government Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BMO Government Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BMO Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BMO Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BMO Government Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BMO Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.45 |
BMO Government Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BMO Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BMO Government Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BMO Government Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BMO Government Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund keeps about 99.16% of its net assets in bonds |
BMO Government Technical Analysis
BMO Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMO Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BMO Government Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMO Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BMO Government Predictive Forecast Models
BMO Government's time-series forecasting models is one of many BMO Government's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BMO Government's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BMO Government Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about BMO Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BMO Government Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BMO Government Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BMO Government Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund keeps about 99.16% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in BMO Etf
BMO Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMO Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMO with respect to the benefits of owning BMO Government security.