Zijin Mining Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 38.1

ZIJMY Stock  USD 38.10  0.68  1.82%   
Zijin Mining's future price is the expected price of Zijin Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zijin Mining Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zijin Mining Backtesting, Zijin Mining Valuation, Zijin Mining Correlation, Zijin Mining Hype Analysis, Zijin Mining Volatility, Zijin Mining History as well as Zijin Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Zijin Mining's target price for which you would like Zijin Mining odds to be computed.

Zijin Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 38.1

The tendency of Zijin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 38.10 90 days 38.10 
about 15.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zijin Mining to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 15.05 (This Zijin Mining Group probability density function shows the probability of Zijin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zijin Mining has a beta of 0.21. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zijin Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zijin Mining Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zijin Mining Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zijin Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zijin Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zijin Mining Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.3438.1041.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.5333.2941.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.6835.4539.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4138.0238.62
Details

Zijin Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zijin Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zijin Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zijin Mining Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zijin Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Zijin Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zijin Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zijin Mining Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zijin Mining Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zijin Mining Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Zijin Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zijin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zijin Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zijin Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 B

Zijin Mining Technical Analysis

Zijin Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zijin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zijin Mining Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zijin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zijin Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Zijin Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zijin Mining's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zijin Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zijin Mining Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zijin Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zijin Mining Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zijin Mining Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zijin Mining Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Tools for Zijin Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Zijin Mining's price analysis, check to measure Zijin Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zijin Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Zijin Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zijin Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zijin Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zijin Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.