Zinc Media (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.18

ZIN Stock   50.00  1.00  2.04%   
Zinc Media's future price is the expected price of Zinc Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zinc Media Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zinc Media Backtesting, Zinc Media Valuation, Zinc Media Correlation, Zinc Media Hype Analysis, Zinc Media Volatility, Zinc Media History as well as Zinc Media Performance.
  
Please specify Zinc Media's target price for which you would like Zinc Media odds to be computed.

Zinc Media Target Price Odds to finish below 54.18

The tendency of Zinc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  54.18  after 90 days
 50.00 90 days 54.18 
roughly 2.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zinc Media to stay under  54.18  after 90 days from now is roughly 2.36 (This Zinc Media Group probability density function shows the probability of Zinc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zinc Media Group price to stay between its current price of  50.00  and  54.18  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zinc Media Group has a beta of -0.0552. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zinc Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zinc Media Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zinc Media Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zinc Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zinc Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zinc Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.8948.4951.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.7645.3653.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
000
Details

Zinc Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zinc Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zinc Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zinc Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zinc Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
4.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Zinc Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zinc Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zinc Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zinc Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 40.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 M.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysis-Korea Zinc takeover battle tests Seouls resolve on tackling Korea discount - Yahoo Canada Finance

Zinc Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zinc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zinc Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zinc Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 M

Zinc Media Technical Analysis

Zinc Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zinc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zinc Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zinc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zinc Media Predictive Forecast Models

Zinc Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zinc Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zinc Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zinc Media Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zinc Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zinc Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zinc Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 40.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 M.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysis-Korea Zinc takeover battle tests Seouls resolve on tackling Korea discount - Yahoo Canada Finance

Other Information on Investing in Zinc Stock

Zinc Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zinc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zinc with respect to the benefits of owning Zinc Media security.