Kapuas Prima (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.79
| ZINC Stock | IDR 14.00 1.00 6.67% |
Kapuas |
Kapuas Prima Target Price Odds to finish below 3.79
The tendency of Kapuas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.79 or more in 90 days |
| 14.00 | 90 days | 3.79 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kapuas Prima to drop to 3.79 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kapuas Prima Coal probability density function shows the probability of Kapuas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kapuas Prima Coal price to stay between 3.79 and its current price of 14.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kapuas Prima Coal has a beta of -1.57. This usually means as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Kapuas Prima Coal are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Kapuas Prima is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Kapuas Prima Coal has an alpha of 0.1557, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kapuas Prima Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kapuas Prima
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kapuas Prima Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kapuas Prima Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kapuas Prima is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kapuas Prima's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kapuas Prima Coal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kapuas Prima within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Kapuas Prima Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kapuas Prima for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kapuas Prima Coal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kapuas Prima Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kapuas Prima Coal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kapuas Prima generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Kapuas Prima Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kapuas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kapuas Prima's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kapuas Prima's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 177.2 B |
Kapuas Prima Technical Analysis
Kapuas Prima's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kapuas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kapuas Prima Coal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kapuas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kapuas Prima Predictive Forecast Models
Kapuas Prima's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kapuas Prima's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kapuas Prima's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kapuas Prima Coal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kapuas Prima for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kapuas Prima Coal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kapuas Prima Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kapuas Prima Coal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kapuas Prima generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kapuas Stock
Kapuas Prima financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kapuas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kapuas with respect to the benefits of owning Kapuas Prima security.