Zions Bancorporation National Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 21.93

ZIONP Preferred Stock  USD 23.22  0.02  0.09%   
Zions Bancorporation's future price is the expected price of Zions Bancorporation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zions Bancorporation National performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zions Bancorporation Backtesting, Zions Bancorporation Valuation, Zions Bancorporation Correlation, Zions Bancorporation Hype Analysis, Zions Bancorporation Volatility, Zions Bancorporation History as well as Zions Bancorporation Performance.
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Zions Bancorporation Target Price Odds to finish below 21.93

The tendency of Zions Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.93  or more in 90 days
 23.22 90 days 21.93 
about 30.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zions Bancorporation to drop to $ 21.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.46 (This Zions Bancorporation National probability density function shows the probability of Zions Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zions Bancorporation price to stay between $ 21.93  and its current price of $23.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zions Bancorporation National has a beta of -0.0183. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zions Bancorporation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zions Bancorporation National is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zions Bancorporation National has an alpha of 0.0547, implying that it can generate a 0.0547 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zions Bancorporation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zions Bancorporation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zions Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6323.2423.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7821.3925.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.2922.9023.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2223.2423.25
Details

Zions Bancorporation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zions Bancorporation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zions Bancorporation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zions Bancorporation National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zions Bancorporation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Zions Bancorporation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zions Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zions Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zions Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.7 M
Dividend Yield0.0477
Short Term Investments11.9 B

Zions Bancorporation Technical Analysis

Zions Bancorporation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zions Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zions Bancorporation National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zions Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zions Bancorporation Predictive Forecast Models

Zions Bancorporation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zions Bancorporation's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zions Bancorporation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Zions Bancorporation in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Zions Bancorporation's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Zions Bancorporation options trading.

Additional Tools for Zions Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Zions Bancorporation's price analysis, check to measure Zions Bancorporation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zions Bancorporation is operating at the current time. Most of Zions Bancorporation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zions Bancorporation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zions Bancorporation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zions Bancorporation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.