China Southern Airlines Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.23
| ZNHDelisted Stock | USD 36.97 0.28 0.75% |
China |
China Southern Target Price Odds to finish over 36.23
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 36.23 in 90 days |
| 36.97 | 90 days | 36.23 | about 8.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Southern to stay above $ 36.23 in 90 days from now is about 8.88 (This China Southern Airlines probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Southern Airlines price to stay between $ 36.23 and its current price of $36.97 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.62 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon China Southern has a beta of 0.17. This usually means as returns on the market go up, China Southern average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Southern Airlines will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Southern Airlines has an alpha of 0.4221, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Southern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Southern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Southern Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Southern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Southern Airlines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
China Southern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Southern Airlines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Southern is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Southern has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| China Southern Airlines has 120.3 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.88, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. China Southern Airlines has a current ratio of 0.29, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 101.64 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.11 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.62 B). |
China Southern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 324 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.5 B |
China Southern Technical Analysis
China Southern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Southern Airlines. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Southern Predictive Forecast Models
China Southern's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Southern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Southern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Southern Airlines
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Southern Airlines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Southern is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Southern has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| China Southern Airlines has 120.3 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.88, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. China Southern Airlines has a current ratio of 0.29, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 101.64 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.11 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.62 B). |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in China Stock
If you are still planning to invest in China Southern Airlines check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Southern's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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