Zuger Kantonalbank (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8220.55

ZUGER Stock  CHF 8,160  40.00  0.49%   
Zuger Kantonalbank's future price is the expected price of Zuger Kantonalbank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zuger Kantonalbank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zuger Kantonalbank Backtesting, Zuger Kantonalbank Valuation, Zuger Kantonalbank Correlation, Zuger Kantonalbank Hype Analysis, Zuger Kantonalbank Volatility, Zuger Kantonalbank History as well as Zuger Kantonalbank Performance.
  
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Zuger Kantonalbank Target Price Odds to finish over 8220.55

The tendency of Zuger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over ₣ 8,221  or more in 90 days
 8,160 90 days 8,221 
about 83.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zuger Kantonalbank to move over ₣ 8,221  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.75 (This Zuger Kantonalbank probability density function shows the probability of Zuger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zuger Kantonalbank price to stay between its current price of ₣ 8,160  and ₣ 8,221  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zuger Kantonalbank has a beta of 0.0962. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zuger Kantonalbank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zuger Kantonalbank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zuger Kantonalbank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zuger Kantonalbank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zuger Kantonalbank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zuger Kantonalbank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,1608,1608,160
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,3447,3448,976
Details

Zuger Kantonalbank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zuger Kantonalbank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zuger Kantonalbank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zuger Kantonalbank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zuger Kantonalbank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
86.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Zuger Kantonalbank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zuger Kantonalbank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zuger Kantonalbank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zuger Kantonalbank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Zuger Kantonalbank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zuger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zuger Kantonalbank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zuger Kantonalbank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding288.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 B

Zuger Kantonalbank Technical Analysis

Zuger Kantonalbank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zuger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zuger Kantonalbank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zuger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zuger Kantonalbank Predictive Forecast Models

Zuger Kantonalbank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zuger Kantonalbank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zuger Kantonalbank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zuger Kantonalbank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zuger Kantonalbank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zuger Kantonalbank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zuger Kantonalbank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Zuger Stock Analysis

When running Zuger Kantonalbank's price analysis, check to measure Zuger Kantonalbank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zuger Kantonalbank is operating at the current time. Most of Zuger Kantonalbank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zuger Kantonalbank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zuger Kantonalbank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zuger Kantonalbank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.