Zug Estates (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1885.39
| ZUGN Stock | CHF 1,870 10.00 0.53% |
Zug |
Zug Estates Target Price Odds to finish below 1885.39
The tendency of Zug Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under ₣ 1,885 after 90 days |
| 1,870 | 90 days | 1,885 | about 72.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zug Estates to stay under ₣ 1,885 after 90 days from now is about 72.94 (This Zug Estates Holding probability density function shows the probability of Zug Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zug Estates Holding price to stay between its current price of ₣ 1,870 and ₣ 1,885 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zug Estates Holding has a beta of -0.14. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zug Estates are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zug Estates Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zug Estates Holding has an alpha of 0.121, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zug Estates Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zug Estates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zug Estates Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zug Estates Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zug Estates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zug Estates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zug Estates Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zug Estates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 37.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Zug Estates Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zug Estates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zug Estates Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zug Estates Holding has accumulated 435.31 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Zug Estates Holding has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zug Estates until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zug Estates' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zug Estates Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zug to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zug Estates' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Zug Estates outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Zug Estates Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zug Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zug Estates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zug Estates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 460.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 M |
Zug Estates Technical Analysis
Zug Estates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zug Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zug Estates Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zug Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zug Estates Predictive Forecast Models
Zug Estates' time-series forecasting models is one of many Zug Estates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zug Estates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zug Estates Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zug Estates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zug Estates Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zug Estates Holding has accumulated 435.31 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.65, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Zug Estates Holding has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zug Estates until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zug Estates' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zug Estates Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zug to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zug Estates' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 35.0% of Zug Estates outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Zug Stock Analysis
When running Zug Estates' price analysis, check to measure Zug Estates' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zug Estates is operating at the current time. Most of Zug Estates' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zug Estates' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zug Estates' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zug Estates to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.