Cinemark Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.18
| ZZA Stock | EUR 32.18 0.08 0.25% |
Cinemark |
Cinemark Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 32.18
The tendency of Cinemark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.18 | 90 days | 32.18 | about 1.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cinemark Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.34 (This Cinemark Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cinemark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cinemark Holdings has a beta of 0.42. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Cinemark Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cinemark Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cinemark Holdings has an alpha of 0.3394, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cinemark Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cinemark Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cinemark Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cinemark Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cinemark Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cinemark Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cinemark Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cinemark Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Cinemark Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cinemark Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cinemark Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cinemark Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cinemark Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cinemark Holdings has accumulated 2.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 224.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cinemark Holdings has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cinemark Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cinemark Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cinemark Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cinemark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cinemark Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (271.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Over 89.0% of Cinemark Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Cinemark Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cinemark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cinemark Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cinemark Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.8 M |
Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis
Cinemark Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cinemark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cinemark Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cinemark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cinemark Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Cinemark Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cinemark Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cinemark Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cinemark Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cinemark Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cinemark Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cinemark Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cinemark Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cinemark Holdings has accumulated 2.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 224.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cinemark Holdings has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cinemark Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cinemark Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cinemark Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cinemark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cinemark Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (271.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Over 89.0% of Cinemark Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cinemark Stock
When determining whether Cinemark Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cinemark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock:Check out Cinemark Holdings Backtesting, Cinemark Holdings Valuation, Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Hype Analysis, Cinemark Holdings Volatility, Cinemark Holdings History as well as Cinemark Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Cinemark Stock please use our How to Invest in Cinemark Holdings guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.