INFORMATION SVC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.82

ZZG Stock  EUR 3.18  0.10  3.25%   
INFORMATION SVC's future price is the expected price of INFORMATION SVC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of INFORMATION SVC GRP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out INFORMATION SVC Backtesting, INFORMATION SVC Valuation, INFORMATION SVC Correlation, INFORMATION SVC Hype Analysis, INFORMATION SVC Volatility, INFORMATION SVC History as well as INFORMATION SVC Performance.
  
Please specify INFORMATION SVC's target price for which you would like INFORMATION SVC odds to be computed.

INFORMATION SVC Target Price Odds to finish over 3.82

The tendency of INFORMATION Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.82  or more in 90 days
 3.18 90 days 3.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INFORMATION SVC to move over € 3.82  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This INFORMATION SVC GRP probability density function shows the probability of INFORMATION Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INFORMATION SVC GRP price to stay between its current price of € 3.18  and € 3.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon INFORMATION SVC GRP has a beta of -0.28. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INFORMATION SVC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INFORMATION SVC GRP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INFORMATION SVC GRP has an alpha of 0.2026, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   INFORMATION SVC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for INFORMATION SVC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INFORMATION SVC GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.983.185.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.883.085.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.903.105.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.043.123.21
Details

INFORMATION SVC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INFORMATION SVC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INFORMATION SVC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INFORMATION SVC GRP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INFORMATION SVC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

INFORMATION SVC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INFORMATION SVC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INFORMATION SVC GRP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

INFORMATION SVC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INFORMATION Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INFORMATION SVC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INFORMATION SVC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M

INFORMATION SVC Technical Analysis

INFORMATION SVC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INFORMATION Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INFORMATION SVC GRP. In general, you should focus on analyzing INFORMATION Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

INFORMATION SVC Predictive Forecast Models

INFORMATION SVC's time-series forecasting models is one of many INFORMATION SVC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INFORMATION SVC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about INFORMATION SVC GRP

Checking the ongoing alerts about INFORMATION SVC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INFORMATION SVC GRP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in INFORMATION Stock

INFORMATION SVC financial ratios help investors to determine whether INFORMATION Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INFORMATION with respect to the benefits of owning INFORMATION SVC security.