China Aluminum (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 601068 Stock | 4.70 0.18 3.69% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Aluminum International is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides China Aluminum buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 601068 positions.
Check out China Aluminum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Aluminum International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
China |
Execute China Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Aluminum International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Aluminum International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Aluminum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
China Aluminum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China Aluminum Inter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.01 B. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Column Chinas export tax bombshell rocks aluminum market - MINING.com |
China Aluminum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China Aluminum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Aluminum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Aluminum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Aluminum International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Aluminum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Aluminum.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -3.31 | Potential Upside | 4.04 | Standard Deviation | 2.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Aluminum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China Aluminum Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 322.5M | (359.9M) | 863.3M | (336.7M) | 236.8M | 248.7M | |
| Investments | 264.4M | 25.8M | 508.3M | 120.3M | 94.6M | 125.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.3B | (2.6B) | (9.9M) | 110.9M | (3.5B) | (3.3B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 532.4M | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.2B | 2.6B | 2.7B | |
| Depreciation | 231.2M | 222.2M | 230.9M | 215.4M | 209.5M | 179.9M | |
| Dividends Paid | 883.3M | 794.6M | 780.3M | 842.9M | 576.7M | 664.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.3B | 4.3B | 4.7B | 4.5B | 51.6M | 49.0M | |
| Net Income | 34.9M | (2.0B) | (950.1M) | 112.5M | (2.7B) | (2.5B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.3B | 2.3B | 1.8B | 785.2M | 903.0M | 1.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 9.1B | 6.5B | 6.6B | 6.9B | 3.3B | 5.2B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (202.3M) | (3.7B) | (3.9B) | (3.9B) | 671.1M | 704.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 537.6M | 594.1M | 433.7M | 538.9M | 470.6M | 518.9M |
China Aluminum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Aluminum or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Aluminum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
China Aluminum Volatility Alert
China Aluminum International currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Aluminum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Aluminum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.China Aluminum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China Aluminum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Aluminum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Aluminum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Aluminum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Aluminum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China Aluminum to competition |
| Fundamentals | China Aluminum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.04 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 25.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.56 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 88.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.46 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.56 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 22.26 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.01 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.51 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.66 B) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 6.6 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.07 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 722.66 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.58) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 5.29 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11.46 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.13 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 40.94 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.18 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 5.31 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 40.94 B |
China Aluminum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 773262.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.75) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.25 |
About China Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China Aluminum International? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Aluminum financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Aluminum security.