Tianjin Silvery (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

603969 Stock   5.82  0.33  6.01%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tianjin Silvery Dragon is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Tianjin Silvery buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603969 positions.
  
Check out Tianjin Silvery Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tianjin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tianjin Silvery Dragon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Tianjin Silvery Buy or Sell Advice

The Tianjin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tianjin Silvery Dragon. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tianjin Silvery Dragon or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tianjin Silvery's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tianjin SilveryBuy Tianjin Silvery
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Tianjin Silvery Dragon has a Mean Deviation of 2.11, Semi Deviation of 1.73, Standard Deviation of 2.84, Variance of 8.07, Downside Variance of 4.95 and Semi Variance of 2.99
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Tianjin Silvery. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Tianjin Silvery Dragon is not overpriced, please validate all Tianjin Silvery fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Tianjin Silvery Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tianjin Silvery appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Tianjin Silvery generates negative cash flow from operations
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tianjin Silvery Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tianjin Silvery's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tianjin Silvery's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tianjin Silvery daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tianjin Silvery Dragon price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tianjin Silvery returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tianjin Silvery.
Mean Return
0.58
Value At Risk
-4.05
Potential Upside
6.35
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tianjin Silvery historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tianjin Silvery Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid119.4M76.6M80.7M22.1M65.4M61.8M
Capital Expenditures73.3M9.7M3.5M66.8M31.9M58.6M
Net Income166.1M136.6M146.6M103.9M171.6M138.2M
Change To Inventory(22.9M)(47.7M)2.0M(25.1M)(87.3M)(82.9M)
Investments(388M)396.0M(123.3M)(5.8M)94.7M99.4M
Change In Cash(48.3M)27.3M(3.3M)8.5M(62.4M)(59.3M)
Net Borrowings62.9M(1.1B)(269.2M)(149.8M)(134.8M)(141.5M)
Depreciation42.0M52.2M52.5M44.5M36.7M41.7M
Change To Netincome26.1M47.9M75.7M53.3M61.3M43.5M
End Period Cash Flow156.1M183.5M180.2M188.7M126.3M133.4M
Free Cash Flow(73.7M)260.9M(73.7M)122.5M(102.9M)(97.7M)
Other Non Cash Items57.3M44.3M42.4M26.7M42.3M35.6M

Tianjin Silvery Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tianjin Silvery or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tianjin Silvery's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tianjin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Tianjin Silvery Volatility Alert

Tianjin Silvery Dragon currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.62. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tianjin Silvery's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tianjin Silvery's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tianjin Silvery Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tianjin Silvery's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tianjin Silvery's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tianjin Silvery and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tianjin Silvery or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tianjin Silvery's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tianjin Silvery by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tianjin Silvery to competition
FundamentalsTianjin SilveryPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0498-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding854.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions8.58 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.64 X11.42 X
Revenue2.75 B9.43 B
Gross Profit328.36 M27.38 B
EBITDA316.28 M3.9 B
Net Income171.56 M570.98 M
Total Debt262.08 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.75 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(71.02 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.26 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees99318.84 K
Market Capitalization4.82 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings986.38 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.61 B1.48 B
Net Asset3.37 B
Last Dividend Paid0.07

Tianjin Silvery Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tianjin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tianjin Silvery Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tianjin Silvery Dragon? Buying financial instruments such as Tianjin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Tianjin Stock

Tianjin Silvery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tianjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tianjin with respect to the benefits of owning Tianjin Silvery security.