Lutian Machinery (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 605259 Stock | 15.20 0.48 3.06% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Lutian Machinery Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Lutian Machinery buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 605259 positions.
Check out Lutian Machinery Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lutian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lutian Machinery Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Lutian |
Execute Lutian Machinery Buy or Sell Advice
The Lutian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lutian Machinery Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lutian Machinery Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lutian Machinery's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Lutian Machinery Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lutian Machinery Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lutian Machinery's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lutian Machinery's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lutian Machinery daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lutian Machinery Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lutian Machinery returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lutian Machinery.
| Mean Return | 0.34 | Value At Risk | -3.13 | Potential Upside | 3.47 | Standard Deviation | 2.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lutian Machinery historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lutian Machinery Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (31.8M) | (110.9M) | (113.3M) | 37.0M | (17.3M) | (18.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | (28.7M) | 78.2M | 544.5M | 173.0M | 40.6M | 38.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.0M) | 93.0M | 15.6M | 238.3M | 141.6M | 72.4M | |
| Change In Working Capital | 21.1M | 36.2M | (144.0M) | 57.8M | (56.8M) | (54.0M) | |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 169.8M | 141.2M | 219.4M | 764.0M | 936.9M | 983.8M | |
| Other Cashflows From Financing Activities | (170.3M) | (3.5M) | 524.3M | 149.4M | 171.8M | 95.7M | |
| Depreciation | 21.4M | 28.8M | 35.5M | 37.8M | 45.3M | 31.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.1M | 10.6M | 6.4M | (14.4M) | (4.6M) | (4.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 160.3M | 98.6M | 41.5M | 58.0M | 47.5M | 61.3M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 139.2M | 191.6M | 57.1M | 296.3M | 189.1M | 156.7M | |
| Net Income | 88.7M | 116.0M | 159.2M | 215.0M | 179.9M | 134.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 141.2M | 219.4M | 764.0M | 936.9M | 977.5M | 528.6M |
Lutian Machinery Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lutian Machinery or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lutian Machinery's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lutian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Lutian Machinery Volatility Alert
Lutian Machinery Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lutian Machinery's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lutian Machinery's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lutian Machinery Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lutian Machinery's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lutian Machinery's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lutian Machinery and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lutian Machinery or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lutian Machinery's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lutian Machinery by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lutian Machinery to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lutian Machinery | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0441 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.74 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 172.48 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 97.68 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.63 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 342.97 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 202.36 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 179.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 612.63 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 189.07 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.97 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 1.93 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.62 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.18 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 811.78 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.1 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.18 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.36 |
Lutian Machinery Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lutian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lutian Machinery Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lutian Machinery Co? Buying financial instruments such as Lutian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Lutian Stock
Lutian Machinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lutian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lutian with respect to the benefits of owning Lutian Machinery security.