Acadian Timber Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADN Stock  CAD 17.65  0.14  0.79%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Acadian Timber Corp is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Acadian Timber's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Acadian Timber Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Acadian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Acadian Timber Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Acadian Timber Buy or Sell Advice

The Acadian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Acadian Timber Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Acadian Timber Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Acadian Timber's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Acadian TimberBuy Acadian Timber
Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Acadian Timber Corp has a Mean Deviation of 0.6102, Semi Deviation of 0.8359, Standard Deviation of 0.8426, Variance of 0.71, Downside Variance of 0.7745 and Semi Variance of 0.6988
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Acadian Timber Corp and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Acadian Timber is not overpriced, please confirm all Acadian Timber Corp fundamentals, including its operating margin, price to earning, net income, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue .

Acadian Timber Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Acadian Timber Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Acadian Timber's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Acadian Timber's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Acadian Timber daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Acadian Timber Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Acadian Timber returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Acadian Timber.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-1.12
Potential Upside
1.52
Standard Deviation
0.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Acadian Timber historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Acadian Timber Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(14.7M)2.7M(2.9M)(1.1M)(4.4M)(4.2M)
Free Cash Flow(4.2M)20.3M15.9M14.9M9.8M7.9M
Depreciation286K280K261K273K363K344.9K
Other Non Cash Items(14.8M)(11.0M)(6.8M)(36.9M)(23.0M)(21.8M)
Dividends Paid18.7M19.2M19.4M16.0M14.9M15.5M
Capital Expenditures86K351K333K378K619K588.1K
Net Income17.3M22.1M18.7M35.5M29.4M19.3M
End Period Cash Flow7.6M10.3M7.3M6.2M1.8M1.7M
Change To Inventory1.2M588K(493K)(400K)514K539.7K
Change To Netincome(16.2M)(7.2M)(2.0M)(23.2M)(20.9M)(19.9M)
Investments1.1M32K186K(319K)38K36.1K

Acadian Timber Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Acadian Timber or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Acadian Timber's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Acadian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Acadian Timber Volatility Alert

Acadian Timber Corp has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -0.17, Maximum Drawdown of 5.32 and kurtosis of 3.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Acadian Timber's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Acadian Timber's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Acadian Timber Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Acadian Timber's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Acadian Timber's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Acadian Timber and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Acadian Timber or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Acadian Timber's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acadian Timber by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Acadian Timber to competition
FundamentalsAcadian TimberPeer Average
Return On Equity0.087-0.31
Return On Asset0.027-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation405.15 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions9.91 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted155.32 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.60 X11.42 X
Revenue93.48 M9.43 B
Gross Profit26.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA42.9 M3.9 B
Net Income29.43 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.32 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt105.52 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity32.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.41 M971.22 M
Short Ratio27.67 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.60 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.83 X4.89 X
Target Price20.0
Beta0.86-0.15
Market Capitalization311.98 M19.03 B
Total Asset567.95 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings111.62 M9.33 B
Working Capital13.78 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.07 %

Acadian Timber Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Acadian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Acadian Timber Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Acadian Timber Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Acadian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Acadian Timber in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Diversified Assets
Diversified Assets Theme
Pablicly traded close-end funds and other entities backed by different types of diversified investments. The Diversified Assets theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Diversified Assets Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Acadian Stock

Acadian Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acadian with respect to the benefits of owning Acadian Timber security.