Amtrust Financial Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AFSIN Stock | USD 13.40 0.60 4.29% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding AmTrust Financial Services is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of AmTrust Financial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out AmTrust Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AmTrust and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AmTrust Financial Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
AmTrust |
Execute AmTrust Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The AmTrust recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AmTrust Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AmTrust Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AmTrust Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
AmTrust Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AmTrust Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.82 B. Net Loss for the year was (348.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 872.65 M. | |
| AmTrust Financial Services has accumulated about 756.1 M in cash with (375.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.82. |
AmTrust Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AmTrust Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AmTrust Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AmTrust Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AmTrust Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AmTrust Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AmTrust Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.09 | Value At Risk | -1.85 | Potential Upside | 3.26 | Standard Deviation | 1.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AmTrust Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AmTrust Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AmTrust Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AmTrust Financial's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AmTrust pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
AmTrust Financial Volatility Alert
AmTrust Financial Services shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AmTrust Financial's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AmTrust Financial's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AmTrust Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AmTrust Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AmTrust Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AmTrust Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AmTrust Financial or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AmTrust Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AmTrust Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AmTrust Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | AmTrust Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0707 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0108 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.37 B | 16.62 B |
| Price To Earning | 15.88 X | 28.72 X |
| Revenue | 5.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 872.65 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (284.69 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (348.89 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 756.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.82 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (375.3 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.98 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 9.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Total Asset | 25.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % | |
| Five Year Return | 10.59 % | |
| Net Asset | 25.22 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.34 |
AmTrust Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AmTrust . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.60) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 87.5 |
About AmTrust Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AmTrust Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as AmTrust Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in AmTrust Pink Sheet
AmTrust Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AmTrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AmTrust with respect to the benefits of owning AmTrust Financial security.