Alderan Resources (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AL8 Stock | 0.03 0 7.14% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Alderan Resources is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alderan Resources given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alderan Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alderan Resources, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Alderan Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alderan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alderan Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Execute Alderan Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The Alderan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alderan Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alderan Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alderan Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves completely opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Alderan Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alderan Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alderan Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alderan Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Alderan Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 34.72 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.72 K. | |
| Alderan Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alderan Resources Unveils Promising Copper Discovery in Utah - MSN |
Alderan Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alderan Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alderan Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alderan Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alderan Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alderan Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alderan Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.73 | Value At Risk | -16.67 | Potential Upside | 20.00 | Standard Deviation | 12.50 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alderan Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alderan Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.4M | (1.3M) | (536.8K) | (19.4K) | (115.9K) | (110.1K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.8M) | (4.0M) | (5.0M) | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | (1.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 86.1K | 57.6K | 45.6K | 37.8K | 4.8M | 5.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 370.3K | (1.8M) | 9.3M | 322.6K | (435.3K) | (413.5K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 411.8K | 3.0K | 4.0M | 18.6K | 2.0 | 1.9 | |
| Net Income | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (10.5M) | (2.4M) | (6.4M) | (6.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.1M | 791.5K | 254.7K | 235.3K | 119.4K | 113.4K | |
| Change To Netincome | 214.8K | (2.5M) | 290.7K | (24.7K) | (22.2K) | (21.1K) | |
| Change To Inventory | 4.5M | 2.5M | (150.2K) | (192.5K) | (173.2K) | (164.6K) | |
| Investments | (421.8K) | (279.0K) | (4.3M) | (18.6K) | (110K) | (115.5K) |
Alderan Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alderan Resources or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alderan Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alderan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -4.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Alderan Resources Volatility Alert
Alderan Resources is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Alderan Resources is a penny stock. Although Alderan Resources may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alderan Resources. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Alderan instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Alderan Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alderan Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alderan Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alderan Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alderan Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alderan Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alderan Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alderan Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alderan Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.03 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.61 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 5.61 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 190.93 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 39.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Book | 1.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 135.76 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 34.72 K | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 34.72 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.6 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (6.36 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 235.3 K | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.75 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Beta | 1.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 572.79 K | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.04 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (35.58 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.92 K | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 5.04 M |
Alderan Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alderan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alderan Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alderan Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Alderan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Alderan Stock Analysis
When running Alderan Resources' price analysis, check to measure Alderan Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alderan Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Alderan Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alderan Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alderan Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alderan Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.