Ampol (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALD Stock | 29.09 0.45 1.52% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ampol is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ampol given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ampol. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ampol, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Ampol Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ampol and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ampol. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Ampol |
Execute Ampol Buy or Sell Advice
The Ampol recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ampol. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ampol or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ampol's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Ampol Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ampol generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ampol is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Ampol Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ampol's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ampol's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ampol daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ampol price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ampol returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ampol.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.25 | Potential Upside | 2.45 | Standard Deviation | 1.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ampol historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ampol Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Other Non Cash Items | (185.7M) | 307.6M | 1.2B | 677.6M | (401.6M) | (381.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 280.7M | 226.6M | 324.2M | 406.9M | 527.3M | 553.7M | |
| Net Income | 382.8M | (484.9M) | 521.1M | 727.5M | 549.1M | 576.6M | |
| Change In Cash | 28.9M | 332.6M | 198.7M | (440.3M) | 197.1M | 207.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 563.6M | 41M | 310.4M | 541.4M | 964.7M | 1.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 239M | (189.8M) | (178.7M) | (383.6M) | (595.6M) | (565.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 35M | 367.6M | 566.3M | 126M | 300.6M | 315.6M | |
| Depreciation | 396.1M | 422.2M | 364.2M | 465.1M | 458.9M | 233.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (493.4M) | 755.2M | (710.6M) | (882.8M) | 607M | 637.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | (179.2M) | (200.8M) | 393.7M | 519.4M | 597.3M | 627.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | (174.8M) | 302.1M | (58.1M) | (353.7M) | (318.3M) | (302.4M) |
Ampol Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ampol or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ampol's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ampol stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Ampol Volatility Alert
Ampol has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of 0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ampol's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ampol's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ampol Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ampol's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ampol's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ampol and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ampol or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ampol's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ampol by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ampol to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ampol | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0637 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.63 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 238.3 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.14 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 58.14 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 37.75 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.81 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.5 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 549.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 3.69 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.5 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.90 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 33.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.75 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.81 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.27 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.9 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.06 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Net Asset | 13.27 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.8 |
Ampol Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ampol . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ampol Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ampol? Buying financial instruments such as Ampol Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ampol in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Target Risk ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Target Risk ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Target Risk ETFs theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Target Risk ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Ampol Stock Analysis
When running Ampol's price analysis, check to measure Ampol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampol is operating at the current time. Most of Ampol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.