Africa Oil Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AOIFF Stock  USD 1.48  0.02  1.37%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Africa Oil Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Africa Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AOIFF positions.
  
Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Africa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Africa Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Africa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Africa Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Africa Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Africa OilBuy Africa Oil
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Africa Oil Corp has a Mean Deviation of 2.16, Semi Deviation of 2.51, Standard Deviation of 2.73, Variance of 7.46, Downside Variance of 7.65 and Semi Variance of 6.29
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Africa Oil is not overpriced, please confirm all Africa Oil Corp fundamentals, including its price to book, cash per share, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio . Please also double-check Africa Oil Corp shares owned by institutions to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Africa Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Africa Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Africa Oil Corp may become a speculative penny stock
Africa Oil Corp has accumulated about 191.04 M in cash with (10.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Africa Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Africa Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Africa Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Africa Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Africa Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Africa Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Africa Oil.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-4.35
Potential Upside
4.76
Standard Deviation
2.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Africa Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Africa Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Africa Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Africa Oil's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Africa pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Africa Oil Volatility Alert

Africa Oil Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Africa Oil's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Africa Oil's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Africa Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Africa Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Africa Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Africa Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Africa Oil or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Africa Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Africa Oil to competition
FundamentalsAfrica OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0153-0.14
Profit Margin1.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.18) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation838.86 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding460.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.20 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.07 X11.42 X
Gross Profit226.88 M27.38 B
EBITDA208.99 M3.9 B
Net Income190.72 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents191.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt23.19 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio18.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.21 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.37 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1818.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization994.18 M19.03 B
Total Asset991.62 M29.47 B
Z Score25.28.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset991.62 M
Last Dividend Paid0.05

Africa Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Africa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Africa Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Africa Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Money Funds
Money Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most if their asset in companies from financial sector such as commercial banks, insurance companies, investment funds, and real estate. The Money Funds theme has 34 constituents at this time.
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Other Information on Investing in Africa Pink Sheet

Africa Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Africa Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Africa with respect to the benefits of owning Africa Oil security.