Aspen Group (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APZ Stock   2.60  0.08  3.17%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Aspen Group Unit is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aspen Group Unit given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aspen Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aspen Group Unit, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aspen Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aspen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aspen Group Unit. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Aspen Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Aspen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aspen Group Unit. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aspen Group Unit or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aspen Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aspen GroupBuy Aspen Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aspen Group Unit has a Mean Deviation of 1.79, Semi Deviation of 1.78, Standard Deviation of 2.33, Variance of 5.45, Downside Variance of 5.72 and Semi Variance of 3.18
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aspen Group Unit. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aspen Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Aspen Group Unit fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Aspen Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aspen Group current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aspen analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aspen analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Aspen Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aspen Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aspen Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aspen Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aspen Group Unit price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aspen Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aspen Group.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-2.98
Potential Upside
4.72
Standard Deviation
2.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aspen Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aspen Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.7M116K2.5M(1.8M)(4.4M)(4.2M)
Free Cash Flow11.2M(1.1M)74.7M(2.3M)29.1M30.6M
Other Non Cash Items(1.2M)(26.1M)(76.4M)(39.2M)(17.6M)(16.7M)
Net Income11.9M25.4M75.4M54.4M48.4M50.9M
End Period Cash Flow8.2M8.3M10.7M8.9M4.5M7.8M
Depreciation544K729K986K1.2M1.5M1.3M
Dividends Paid5.3M7.4M8.4M11.7M15.3M9.9M
Investments(40.0M)(35.5M)(85.3M)(49.9M)(38.4M)(36.5M)

Aspen Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aspen Group or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aspen Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aspen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Aspen Group Volatility Alert

Aspen Group Unit currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aspen Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aspen Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aspen Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aspen Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aspen Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aspen Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aspen Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aspen Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aspen Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aspen Group to competition
FundamentalsAspen GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0276-0.14
Profit Margin0.53 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation716.12 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding200.28 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions47.55 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.60 X11.42 X
Revenue91.14 M9.43 B
Gross Profit6.99 M27.38 B
EBITDA28.45 M3.9 B
Net Income48.44 M570.98 M
Total Debt199.9 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations30.95 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.26 X3.12 X
Target Price3.19
Beta0.49-0.15
Market Capitalization510.72 M19.03 B
Total Asset668.95 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(215.91 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(14.38 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset668.95 M
Last Dividend Paid0.085

Aspen Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aspen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aspen Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aspen Group Unit? Buying financial instruments such as Aspen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aspen Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Machinery Thematic Idea Now

Machinery
Machinery Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Machinery theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Machinery Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Aspen Stock Analysis

When running Aspen Group's price analysis, check to measure Aspen Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspen Group is operating at the current time. Most of Aspen Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspen Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspen Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspen Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.