Athabasca Oil Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ATH Stock  CAD 5.51  0.04  0.73%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Athabasca Oil Corp is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Athabasca Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Athabasca Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Athabasca and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Athabasca Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Athabasca Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Athabasca recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Athabasca Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Athabasca Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Athabasca Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Athabasca OilBuy Athabasca Oil
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Athabasca Oil Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.7, Standard Deviation of 2.07 and Variance of 4.28
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Athabasca Oil Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Athabasca Oil is not overpriced, please confirm all Athabasca Oil Corp fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to sales, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda .

Athabasca Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Athabasca Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Athabasca Oil Corp has accumulated 185.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Athabasca Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athabasca Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athabasca Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athabasca Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athabasca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athabasca Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 528.07 M.

Athabasca Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Athabasca Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Athabasca Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Athabasca Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Athabasca Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Athabasca Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Athabasca Oil.
Mean Return
-0.01
Value At Risk
-3.44
Potential Upside
3.13
Standard Deviation
2.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Athabasca Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Athabasca Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Athabasca Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Athabasca Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Athabasca stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Athabasca Oil Volatility Alert

Athabasca Oil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.19 and kurtosis of -0.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Athabasca Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Athabasca Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Athabasca Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Athabasca Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Athabasca Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Athabasca Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Athabasca Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Athabasca Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athabasca Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Athabasca Oil to competition
FundamentalsAthabasca OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.38 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.63 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding528.1 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions25.13 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted37.17 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.28 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.19 X11.42 X
Revenue1.2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit528.07 M27.38 B
EBITDA338.51 M3.9 B
Net Income(51.22 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents197.53 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt185.54 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.89 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations305.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.40 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.20 X4.89 X
Target Price6.3
Number Of Employees17018.84 K
Beta1.99-0.15
Market Capitalization2.89 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.05 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(821.68 M)9.33 B
Working Capital315.52 M1.48 B

Athabasca Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Athabasca . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Athabasca Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Athabasca Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Athabasca Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Athabasca Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Athabasca Stock

Athabasca Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athabasca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athabasca with respect to the benefits of owning Athabasca Oil security.