Contact Energy (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BZB Stock  EUR 4.80  0.08  1.69%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Contact Energy Limited is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Contact Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BZB positions.
  
Check out Contact Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Contact and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Contact Energy Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Contact Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Contact recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Contact Energy Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Contact Energy Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Contact Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Contact EnergyBuy Contact Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Contact Energy Limited has a Mean Deviation of 1.08, Semi Deviation of 1.95, Standard Deviation of 1.84, Variance of 3.4, Downside Variance of 7.47 and Semi Variance of 3.79
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Contact Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Contact Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Contact Energy fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to earning, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

Contact Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Contact Energy Limited has accumulated 812 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.45, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Contact Energy has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Contact Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Contact Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Contact Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Contact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Contact Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Contact Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Contact Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Contact Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Contact Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Contact Energy Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Contact Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Contact Energy.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.26
Potential Upside
2.68
Standard Deviation
1.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Contact Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Contact Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Contact Energy or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Contact Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Contact stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0022
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Contact Energy Volatility Alert

Contact Energy Limited currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Contact Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Contact Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Contact Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Contact Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Contact Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Contact Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Contact Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Contact Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Contact Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Contact Energy to competition
FundamentalsContact EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0146-0.31
Return On Asset0.0109-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding783.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions25.49 %39.21 %
Price To Earning37.48 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.55 X11.42 X
Revenue2.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit530.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA550 M3.9 B
Net Income182 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents36 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt812 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.45 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations400 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.03 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees94418.84 K
Beta0.35-0.15
Market Capitalization3.48 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.17 B29.47 B
Z Score2.48.72
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset5.17 B
Last Dividend Paid0.35

Contact Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Contact . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Contact Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Contact Energy Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Contact Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Contact Stock

Contact Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Contact Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Contact with respect to the benefits of owning Contact Energy security.