Farmers National Banc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FMNB Stock | USD 15.78 0.34 2.20% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Farmers National Banc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Farmers National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FMNB positions.
Check out Farmers National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Farmers and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Farmers National Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Farmers |
Execute Farmers National Buy or Sell Advice
The Farmers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmers National Banc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmers National Banc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmers National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Farmers National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| On 30th of September 2024 Farmers National paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from ndtv.com: Centre Plans To Examine Burnt Area After Farmers Timing Crop Fires |
Farmers National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Farmers National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmers National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmers National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmers National Banc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmers National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Farmers National.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -2.98 | Potential Upside | 3.42 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmers National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Farmers Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 304.2 K | Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 246.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 226.9 K | Ing Investment Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 180.1 K | Staley Capital Advisers Inc | 2024-06-30 | 173.9 K | Schneider Downs Wealth Management Advisors, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 170.7 K | John W. Rosenthal Capital Management, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 139.7 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 119.6 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 111.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2 M |
Farmers National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 12.8M | 183.9M | (141.8M) | (37.2M) | 28.1M | 29.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 37.3M | 46.3M | 53.6M | 78.2M | 58.4M | 61.3M | |
| Depreciation | 2.8M | 3.1M | 3.5M | 4.9M | 7.3M | 7.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.3M | 9.3M | 7.0M | 6.3M | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.5M | 12.7M | 14.1M | 22.0M | 25.4M | 26.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.5M | 3.7M | 1.4M | 5.5M | 3.9M | 4.1M | |
| Net Income | 35.8M | 41.9M | 51.8M | 60.6M | 49.9M | 52.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.8M | 254.6M | 112.8M | 75.6M | 103.7M | 57.0M | |
| Investments | (91.6M) | (141.5M) | (508.9M) | (201.0M) | 77.9M | 81.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | (128.6M) | (97.1M) | 2K | 95M | 85.5M | 89.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.7M | 7.6M | 1.5M | 3.5M | 4.1M | 3.0M |
Farmers National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmers National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmers National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Farmers National Volatility Alert
Farmers National Banc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.02 and kurtosis of 10.58. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Farmers National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Farmers National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Farmers National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Farmers National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmers National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmers National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmers National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmers National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmers National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Farmers National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Farmers National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.009 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.33 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 784.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.59 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 39.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 278.01 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.64 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 213.34 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 158.87 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 58.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 49.93 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 68.59 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 443.66 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.70 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 62.31 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.34 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.23 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 16.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 666 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.85 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 593.13 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.08 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 236.76 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.65 % | |
| Net Asset | 5.08 B |
Note: Disposition of 1799 shares by Timothy Shaffer of Farmers National at 15.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Farmers National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Farmers National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Farmers National Banc? Buying financial instruments such as Farmers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Farmers National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Housewares Thematic Idea Now
Housewares
Companies making housewares accessories and providing houseware services. The Housewares theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Farmers National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmers National. If investors know Farmers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmers National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 1.23 | Revenue Per Share 4.369 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Farmers National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmers National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmers National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmers National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmers National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.