Macfarlane Group (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MACF Stock   105.00  1.00  0.96%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Macfarlane Group PLC is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Macfarlane Group PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Macfarlane Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Macfarlane Group PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Macfarlane Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Macfarlane and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Macfarlane Group PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Macfarlane Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Macfarlane recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Macfarlane Group PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Macfarlane Group PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Macfarlane Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Macfarlane GroupBuy Macfarlane Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Macfarlane Group PLC has a Mean Deviation of 1.02, Standard Deviation of 1.37 and Variance of 1.88
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Macfarlane Group PLC to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Macfarlane Group. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Macfarlane Group PLC is not overpriced, please verify all Macfarlane Group PLC fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Macfarlane Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Macfarlane Group PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Macfarlane Group PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 10th of October 2024 Macfarlane Group paid 0.0096 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: UK Dividend Stocks To Consider In November 2024 - Yahoo Finance

Macfarlane Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Macfarlane Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Macfarlane Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Macfarlane Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Macfarlane Group PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Macfarlane Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Macfarlane Group.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-2.24
Potential Upside
2.31
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Macfarlane Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Macfarlane Group Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory2.0M161K(4.8M)1.0M5.7M6.0M
Change In Cash(1.3M)1.9M6.9M(6.8M)1.6M1.7M
Free Cash Flow16.8M22.5M21.7M14.7M31.3M32.9M
Depreciation10.2M11.0M12.6M12.6M13.6M14.3M
Other Non Cash Items1.6M1.3M2.4M(5.3M)954K1.0M
Capital Expenditures2.6M804K2.1M3.3M2.2M3.3M
Net Income12.0M13.0M17.7M19.8M15.0M15.7M
End Period Cash Flow3.3M5.2M12.1M5.3M7.0M7.3M
Dividends Paid3.7M1.1M4.3M5.1M5.5M2.9M
Net Borrowings(8.5M)(16.9M)(3.7M)(8.1M)(7.3M)(6.9M)
Change To Netincome285K1.3M2.1M(452K)(406.8K)(386.5K)
Investments(8.6M)(3.4M)(9.0M)(11.6M)(16.6M)(15.7M)

Macfarlane Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Macfarlane Group or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Macfarlane Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Macfarlane stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Macfarlane Group Volatility Alert

Macfarlane Group PLC exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.18 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Macfarlane Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Macfarlane Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Macfarlane Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Macfarlane Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Macfarlane Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Macfarlane Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Macfarlane Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Macfarlane Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Macfarlane Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Macfarlane Group to competition
FundamentalsMacfarlane GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0612-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation210.14 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding159.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders13.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions68.94 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.43 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue280.71 M9.43 B
Gross Profit98.06 M27.38 B
EBITDA36.19 M3.9 B
Net Income14.97 M570.98 M
Total Debt43.34 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations33.51 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.09 X3.12 X
Target Price142.5
Number Of Employees1 K18.84 K
Beta0.66-0.15
Market Capitalization167.58 M19.03 B
Total Asset221.23 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings60.63 M9.33 B
Working Capital12.75 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset221.23 M
Last Dividend Paid0.036

Macfarlane Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Macfarlane . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Macfarlane Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Macfarlane Group PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Macfarlane Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Macfarlane Stock Analysis

When running Macfarlane Group's price analysis, check to measure Macfarlane Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macfarlane Group is operating at the current time. Most of Macfarlane Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macfarlane Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macfarlane Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macfarlane Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.