Medibank Private (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MPL Stock | 3.83 0.04 1.03% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Medibank Private is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Medibank Private given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Medibank Private, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Medibank Private Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Medibank and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Medibank Private. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Medibank |
Execute Medibank Private Buy or Sell Advice
The Medibank recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Medibank Private. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Medibank Private or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Medibank Private's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Medibank Private thematic classifications
 | BanksAll money banks and credit services |
Medibank Private Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Medibank Private's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Medibank Private's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Medibank Private daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Medibank Private price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Medibank Private returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Medibank Private.
| Mean Return | -0.0031 | Value At Risk | -1.58 | Potential Upside | 1.62 | Standard Deviation | 0.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Medibank Private historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Medibank Private Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 214.9M | (199.7M) | (75M) | (176.1M) | 270.4M | 283.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 543.1M | 447.1M | 913.4M | 142.6M | 810.9M | 467.2M | |
| Depreciation | 49.2M | 45.1M | 41.2M | 40.7M | 89.4M | 93.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 208.2M | (4.1M) | 513.4M | (367.3M) | 445M | 467.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 429.6M | 333.2M | 358M | 374.5M | 426.9M | 370.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.8M | 29.3M | 35.1M | 41.9M | 57.6M | 29.7M | |
| Net Income | 315M | 441.2M | 393.9M | 511.1M | 3.9M | 3.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 871.4M | 671.7M | 596.7M | 420.6M | 691M | 494.9M | |
| Investments | 110.7M | (284.1M) | (602.7M) | 58.5M | (110.8M) | (116.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 13.8M | (111M) | 30.2M | (126.9M) | (145.9M) | (153.2M) |
Medibank Private Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Medibank Private or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Medibank Private's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Medibank stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Medibank Private Volatility Alert
Medibank Private exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of -0.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Medibank Private's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Medibank Private's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Medibank Private Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Medibank Private's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Medibank Private's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Medibank Private and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Medibank Private or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Medibank Private's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medibank Private by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Medibank Private to competition |
| Fundamentals | Medibank Private | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.0005 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.19 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.75 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.12 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 42.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 4.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.64 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 813.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 420.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 218.3 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 868.5 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 4.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.22 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 10.55 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.69 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.07 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 4.69 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.17 |
Medibank Private Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Medibank . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 65048.61 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.39 |
About Medibank Private Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Medibank Private? Buying financial instruments such as Medibank Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Medibank Stock Analysis
When running Medibank Private's price analysis, check to measure Medibank Private's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medibank Private is operating at the current time. Most of Medibank Private's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medibank Private's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medibank Private's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medibank Private to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.