MotorCycle Holdings (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MTO Stock   1.62  0.01  0.61%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding MotorCycle Holdings is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MotorCycle Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MotorCycle Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MotorCycle Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out MotorCycle Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MotorCycle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. MotorCycle Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute MotorCycle Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The MotorCycle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MotorCycle Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MotorCycle Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MotorCycle Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MotorCycle HoldingsBuy MotorCycle Holdings
Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon MotorCycle Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1566, Jensen Alpha of 0.5069, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0914, Sortino Ratio of 0.1895 and Treynor Ratio of 5.19
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on MotorCycle Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure MotorCycle Holdings is not overpriced, please verify all MotorCycle Holdings fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, net income, as well as the relationship between the revenue and ebitda .

MotorCycle Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MotorCycle Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
MotorCycle Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: MotorCycle Holdings Ltd. Reassures Investors on Compliance - MSN

MotorCycle Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of MotorCycle Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MotorCycle Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MotorCycle Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MotorCycle Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MotorCycle Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MotorCycle Holdings.
Mean Return
0.53
Value At Risk
-2.98
Potential Upside
4.85
Standard Deviation
2.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MotorCycle Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MotorCycle Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory11.5M(13.0M)(21.3M)(48.3M)537K563.9K
Change In Cash29.6M(34.8M)(758K)20.8M(12.6M)(12.0M)
Depreciation13.2M13.4M14.1M17.0M19.3M20.3M
Capital Expenditures1.2M2.1M2.0M3.1M3.1M3.0M
Net Income(9.1M)28.3M23.1M23.0M14.1M14.8M
Change To Netincome15.2M(474K)(534K)(651K)(585.9K)(556.6K)
Other Non Cash Items15.1M(12.6M)(21.8M)(693K)33.0M34.6M
Net Borrowings(1.5M)(52.7M)5.3M18.8M16.9M17.7M
Free Cash Flow35.6M27.1M13.4M36.2M24.1M17.2M
End Period Cash Flow38.7M4.7M3.9M24.7M12.1M10.9M
Investments(3.7M)(250K)415K(26.4M)(14.5M)(13.7M)

MotorCycle Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MotorCycle Holdings or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MotorCycle Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MotorCycle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

MotorCycle Holdings Volatility Alert

MotorCycle Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.15 and Jensen Alpha of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MotorCycle Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MotorCycle Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

MotorCycle Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing MotorCycle Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MotorCycle Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MotorCycle Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MotorCycle Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MotorCycle Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MotorCycle Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MotorCycle Holdings to competition
FundamentalsMotorCycle HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0711-0.31
Return On Asset0.0429-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation251.57 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding73.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders49.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions14.73 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.20 X11.42 X
Revenue582.32 M9.43 B
Gross Profit151.74 M27.38 B
EBITDA48.92 M3.9 B
Net Income14.13 M570.98 M
Total Debt144.51 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations27.3 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.19 X3.12 X
Target Price1.91
Number Of Employees10018.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization119.2 M19.03 B
Total Asset394.98 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings49.28 M9.33 B
Working Capital80.85 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.09 %
Net Asset394.98 M
Last Dividend Paid0.1

MotorCycle Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MotorCycle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About MotorCycle Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MotorCycle Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as MotorCycle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for MotorCycle Stock Analysis

When running MotorCycle Holdings' price analysis, check to measure MotorCycle Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MotorCycle Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of MotorCycle Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MotorCycle Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MotorCycle Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MotorCycle Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.