Nova Organic (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NV Stock   0.95  0.03  3.26%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nova Organic PCL is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Nova Organic's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Nova Organic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nova and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nova Organic PCL. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Nova Organic Buy or Sell Advice

The Nova recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nova Organic PCL. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nova Organic PCL or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nova Organic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Nova OrganicBuy Nova Organic
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Nova Organic PCL has a Mean Deviation of 2.46, Semi Deviation of 2.2, Standard Deviation of 4.19, Variance of 17.53, Downside Variance of 7.62 and Semi Variance of 4.82
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Nova Organic PCL. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Nova Organic PCL is not overpriced, please verify all Nova Organic PCL fundamentals, including its ebitda and the relationship between the cash flow from operations and net asset .

Nova Organic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Nova Organic PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nova Organic PCL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nova Organic PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nova Organic PCL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Nova Organic generates negative cash flow from operations
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nova Organic Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nova Organic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nova Organic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nova Organic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nova Organic PCL price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nova Organic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nova Organic.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-3.97
Potential Upside
7.89
Standard Deviation
4.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nova Organic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nova Organic Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nova Organic or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nova Organic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nova stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
3.33
Ir
Information ratio 0

Nova Organic Volatility Alert

Nova Organic PCL currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.12. Nova Organic PCL is a potential penny stock. Although Nova Organic may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Nova Organic PCL. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Nova instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Nova Organic Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nova Organic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nova Organic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nova Organic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nova Organic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nova Organic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nova Organic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nova Organic to competition
FundamentalsNova OrganicPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0497-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0328-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation648.16 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding600 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders74.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.10 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.82 X11.42 X
Revenue1.24 B9.43 B
Gross Profit770.24 M27.38 B
EBITDA107.14 M3.9 B
Net Income80.35 M570.98 M
Book Value Per Share2.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(158.85 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees218.84 K
Market Capitalization1.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.82 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.27 %
Net Asset1.82 B
Last Dividend Paid0.35

Nova Organic Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nova . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Nova Organic Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nova Organic PCL? Buying financial instruments such as Nova Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Nova Organic in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Corporate ETFs
Corporate ETFs Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Nova Stock

Nova Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nova Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nova with respect to the benefits of owning Nova Organic security.