Saga Plc (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SAGA Stock | 113.80 3.00 2.71% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Saga plc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Saga plc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Saga Plc. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Saga plc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Saga Plc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Saga and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Saga plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Saga |
Execute Saga Plc Buy or Sell Advice
The Saga recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Saga plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Saga plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Saga Plc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Saga Plc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Saga plc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 741.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (129 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 275.9 M. | |
| About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors in Saga have unfortunately lost 85 percent over the last five years - Yahoo Finance |
Saga Plc Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Saga Plc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Saga Plc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Saga Plc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Saga plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Saga Plc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Saga Plc.
| Mean Return | 0.18 | Value At Risk | -3.46 | Potential Upside | 5.93 | Standard Deviation | 3.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Saga Plc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Saga Plc Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (25M) | 3.7M | 125.3M | (50.4M) | 27.9M | 29.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (203.4M) | (363.5M) | 27.6M | (34.7M) | 57M | 28.8M | |
| Depreciation | 52.2M | 29M | 32.2M | 41.6M | 152.3M | 159.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 494.7M | 31.3M | 77.4M | 352.6M | 17.9M | 17.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 295.3M | 285.1M | 18.9M | 20.8M | 26.7M | 25.4M | |
| Net Income | (312.8M) | (67.8M) | (28M) | (259.2M) | (129M) | (122.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 97.9M | 101.6M | 226.9M | 176.5M | 219.6M | 190.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 100.9M | 25.8M | (100K) | 100K | 90K | 85.5K | |
| Investments | 32.8M | 41.9M | (18.9M) | 4.1M | 18M | 21.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | 179.8M | 196.8M | 76.4M | (54.2M) | (48.8M) | (46.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 389.9M | 26.9M | 2M | 268M | 308.2M | 323.6M |
Saga Plc Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saga Plc or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saga Plc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saga stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Saga Plc Volatility Alert
Saga plc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saga Plc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saga Plc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Saga Plc Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Saga Plc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Saga Plc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Saga Plc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Saga Plc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Saga Plc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saga Plc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Saga Plc to competition |
| Fundamentals | Saga Plc | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.72 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.029 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.18) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 664.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 142.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 37.56 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 13.64 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 741.1 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 275.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 67.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (129 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 824.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 83.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 142.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.68 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.53 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 162.24 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.88 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (452.5 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 95.7 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.88 B |
Saga Plc Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Saga . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Saga Plc Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Saga plc? Buying financial instruments such as Saga Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Saga Stock Analysis
When running Saga Plc's price analysis, check to measure Saga Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saga Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Saga Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saga Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saga Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saga Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.