Savara Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SVRA Stock | USD 3.47 0.01 0.29% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Savara Inc is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Savara buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Savara positions.
Check out Savara Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Savara and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Savara Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Savara |
Execute Savara Buy or Sell Advice
The Savara recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Savara Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Savara Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Savara's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Savara Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Savara Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Savara Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (54.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.99 M). | |
| Savara Inc currently holds about 142.62 M in cash with (51.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25. | |
| Savara Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Ramsay David A of 100000 shares of Savara at 2.876 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Savara Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Savara's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Savara's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Savara daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Savara Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Savara returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Savara.
| Mean Return | -0.27 | Value At Risk | -5.9 | Potential Upside | 4.75 | Standard Deviation | 3.61 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Savara historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Savara Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 5.2 M | Farallon Capital Management, L.l.c. | 2024-09-30 | 4.6 M | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 3.6 M | Exoduspoint Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | Hhg Plc | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Altium Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Axa Sa | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Nea Management Company, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 24.5 M | Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 14.6 M |
Savara Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 25.5M | (26.9M) | 11.1M | 18.1M | (25.5M) | (24.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (45.3M) | (43.1M) | (40.1M) | (34.6M) | (51.4M) | (48.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.0M | 693K | 367K | 167K | 175K | 166.3K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 774K | 5.9M | 449K | 428K | (4.8M) | (4.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 148K | 3.3M | 57K | 9K | 296K | 296.1K | |
| Net Income | (78.2M) | (49.6M) | (43.0M) | (38.2M) | (54.7M) | (52.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 49.8M | 22.9M | 34.0M | 52.1M | 26.6M | 23.6M | |
| Investments | 138.8M | 98.4M | (69.5M) | 52.6M | (57.1M) | (54.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 18.6M | 31.6M | 10.3M | 4.9M | 5.6M | 8.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 14.4M | 8.8M | (41K) | (514K) | (462.6K) | (439.5K) |
Savara Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Savara or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Savara's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Savara stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Savara Volatility Alert
Savara Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.96 and kurtosis of 3.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Savara's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Savara's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Savara Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Savara's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Savara's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Savara and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Savara or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Savara's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Savara by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Savara to competition |
| Fundamentals | Savara | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.48 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 402.79 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 171.62 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.63 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (2.46) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.99 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 131,146 X | 11.42 X |
| Gross Profit | (28.99 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (59.13 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (54.7 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 142.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 26.49 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 39.23 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.17 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (51.06 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.09 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.43) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 9.79 | |
| Number Of Employees | 37 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 595.52 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 177.56 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (393.37 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 155.35 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 177.56 M |
Note: Acquisition by Ramsay David A of 100000 shares of Savara at 2.876 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Savara Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Savara . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0312 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0909 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.47 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About Savara Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Savara Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Savara Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Savara in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Savara Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Savara. If investors know Savara will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Savara listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.43) | Return On Assets (0.26) | Return On Equity (0.48) |
The market value of Savara Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Savara that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Savara's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Savara's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Savara's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Savara's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Savara's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Savara is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Savara's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.