Thai Agro (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TAE Stock  THB 0.84  0.02  2.44%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Thai Agro Energy is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Thai Agro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Thai Agro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Thai and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Thai Agro Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Thai Agro Buy or Sell Advice

The Thai recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Thai Agro Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Thai Agro Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Thai Agro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Thai AgroBuy Thai Agro
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Thai Agro Energy has a Mean Deviation of 1.26, Semi Deviation of 1.34, Standard Deviation of 2.06, Variance of 4.26, Downside Variance of 4.42 and Semi Variance of 1.81
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Thai Agro. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Thai Agro Energy is not overpriced, please validate all Thai Agro fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to earning, and the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Thai Agro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Thai Agro Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thai Agro Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thai Agro Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Thai Agro Energy has accumulated 572.15 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Thai Agro Energy has accumulated 572.15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 74.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Thai Agro Energy has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Thai Agro until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Thai Agro's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Thai Agro Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Thai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Thai Agro's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (58.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.41 M.
Thai Agro Energy has accumulated about 32.84 M in cash with (63.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 69.0% of Thai Agro outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai Agro Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Thai Agro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Thai Agro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Thai Agro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Thai Agro Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Thai Agro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Thai Agro.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-2.3
Potential Upside
3.49
Standard Deviation
2.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Thai Agro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Thai Agro Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Thai Agro or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Thai Agro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Thai stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
126.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Thai Agro Volatility Alert

Thai Agro Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.01. Thai Agro Energy is a potential penny stock. Although Thai Agro may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Thai Agro Energy. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Thai instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Thai Agro Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Thai Agro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Thai Agro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Thai Agro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Thai Agro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Thai Agro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thai Agro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Thai Agro to competition
FundamentalsThai AgroPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0691-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0211-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1000 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders68.64 %10.09 %
Price To Earning9.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.82 X11.42 X
Revenue2.21 B9.43 B
Gross Profit65.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA134.3 M3.9 B
Net Income(58.42 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents32.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt572.15 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity74.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(63.04 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.11) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2818.84 K
Beta0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization1.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings603 M9.33 B
Working Capital(248 M)1.48 B
Current Asset892 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.14 B7.9 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset3.4 B

Thai Agro Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Thai . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Thai Agro Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Thai Agro Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Thai Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Thai Agro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Agro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Agro security.