Tirta Mahakam (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TIRT Stock  IDR 27.00  2.00  8.00%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tirta Mahakam Resources is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Tirta Mahakam's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Tirta Mahakam Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tirta and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Tirta Mahakam Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Tirta Mahakam Buy or Sell Advice

The Tirta recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tirta Mahakam Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tirta Mahakam Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tirta Mahakam's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tirta MahakamBuy Tirta Mahakam
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Tirta Mahakam Resources has a Mean Deviation of 6.37, Standard Deviation of 7.09 and Variance of 50.21
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Tirta Mahakam Resources. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Tirta Mahakam Resources is not overpriced, please validate all Tirta Mahakam fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the net income and book value per share .

Tirta Mahakam Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Tirta Mahakam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tirta Mahakam has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tirta Mahakam has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 15.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (126.52 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (93.76 B).
Tirta Mahakam Resources has accumulated about 4.12 B in cash with (60.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tirta Mahakam Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tirta Mahakam's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tirta Mahakam's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tirta Mahakam daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tirta Mahakam Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tirta Mahakam returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tirta Mahakam.
Mean Return
-1.1
Value At Risk
-9.89
Potential Upside
9.52
Standard Deviation
7.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tirta Mahakam historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tirta Mahakam Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tirta Mahakam or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tirta Mahakam's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tirta stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.98
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.14
σ
Overall volatility
6.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Tirta Mahakam Volatility Alert

Tirta Mahakam Resources is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tirta Mahakam's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tirta Mahakam's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tirta Mahakam Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tirta Mahakam's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tirta Mahakam's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tirta Mahakam and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tirta Mahakam or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tirta Mahakam's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tirta Mahakam by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tirta Mahakam to competition
FundamentalsTirta MahakamPeer Average
Return On Asset-0.0781-0.14
Operating Margin(40.52) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation863.46 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.01 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders78.32 %10.09 %
Price To Book1.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales61.91 X11.42 X
Revenue15.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(93.76 B)27.38 B
EBITDA(105.19 B)3.9 B
Net Income(126.52 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.12 B2.7 B
Book Value Per Share(569.74) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(60.11 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(52.70) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees5518.84 K
Beta-0.0657-0.15
Market Capitalization50.59 B19.03 B
Total Asset282.67 B29.47 B
Net Asset282.67 B

Tirta Mahakam Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tirta . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tirta Mahakam Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tirta Mahakam Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Tirta Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Tirta Stock

Tirta Mahakam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tirta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tirta with respect to the benefits of owning Tirta Mahakam security.