Ultrapar Participaes (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UGPA3 Stock | BRL 17.09 0.95 5.27% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Ultrapar Participaes SA is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ultrapar Participaes SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ultrapar Participaes. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ultrapar Participaes SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Ultrapar Participaes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ultrapar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ultrapar Participaes SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Ultrapar |
Execute Ultrapar Participaes Buy or Sell Advice
The Ultrapar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ultrapar Participaes SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ultrapar Participaes SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ultrapar Participaes' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Ultrapar Participaes Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ultrapar Participaes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Ultrapar Participaes Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ultrapar Participaes' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ultrapar Participaes' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ultrapar Participaes daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ultrapar Participaes SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ultrapar Participaes returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ultrapar Participaes.
| Mean Return | -0.47 | Value At Risk | -3.91 | Potential Upside | 2.42 | Standard Deviation | 1.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ultrapar Participaes historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ultrapar Participaes Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ultrapar Participaes or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ultrapar Participaes' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ultrapar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Ultrapar Participaes Volatility Alert
Ultrapar Participaes SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.45 and kurtosis of 0.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ultrapar Participaes' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ultrapar Participaes' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ultrapar Participaes Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ultrapar Participaes' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ultrapar Participaes' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ultrapar Participaes and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ultrapar Participaes or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ultrapar Participaes' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultrapar Participaes by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ultrapar Participaes to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ultrapar Participaes | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0961 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0389 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 21.65 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.09 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.75 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 35.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 19.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.26 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.09 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 109.73 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.9 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.87 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 850.46 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.95 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.67 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.78 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.76 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.02 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.59 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.91 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.64 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 17.58 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.64 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 39.01 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.0 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.50 % | |
| Net Asset | 39.01 B |
Ultrapar Participaes Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ultrapar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ultrapar Participaes Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ultrapar Participaes SA? Buying financial instruments such as Ultrapar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ultrapar Participaes in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment
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Additional Tools for Ultrapar Stock Analysis
When running Ultrapar Participaes' price analysis, check to measure Ultrapar Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultrapar Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of Ultrapar Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultrapar Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultrapar Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultrapar Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.