NOVARTIS CAPITAL P Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

66989HAR9   83.96  4.56  5.15%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding NOVARTIS CAPITAL P is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides NOVARTIS buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NOVARTIS positions.
  
Check out NOVARTIS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Also, note that the market value of any corporate bond could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute NOVARTIS Buy or Sell Advice

The NOVARTIS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NOVARTIS CAPITAL P. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NOVARTIS CAPITAL P or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NOVARTIS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NOVARTISBuy NOVARTIS
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Default

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails
For the selected time horizon NOVARTIS CAPITAL P has a Mean Deviation of 0.5225, Standard Deviation of 1.17 and Variance of 1.37
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on NOVARTIS CAPITAL P to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on NOVARTIS. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NOVARTIS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NOVARTIS CAPITAL P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NOVARTIS Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NOVARTIS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NOVARTIS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NOVARTIS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NOVARTIS CAPITAL P price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NOVARTIS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NOVARTIS.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-1.28
Potential Upside
0.43
Standard Deviation
1.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NOVARTIS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NOVARTIS Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NOVARTIS or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NOVARTIS's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NOVARTIS bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

NOVARTIS Volatility Alert

NOVARTIS CAPITAL P exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.81 and kurtosis of 14.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NOVARTIS's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NOVARTIS's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NOVARTIS Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NOVARTIS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NOVARTIS Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NOVARTIS CAPITAL P? Buying financial instruments such as NOVARTIS Bond isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NOVARTIS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Warren Buffett Holdings Thematic Idea Now

Warren Buffett Holdings
Warren Buffett Holdings Theme
A long-term portfolio of publicly-traded stocks on US exchanges that are owned by Warren Buffett's holding company Berkshire Hathaway. The Warren Buffett Holdings theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Warren Buffett Holdings Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in NOVARTIS Bond

NOVARTIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NOVARTIS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NOVARTIS with respect to the benefits of owning NOVARTIS security.