Vacasa Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VCSA Stock | USD 5.01 0.01 0.20% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vacasa Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Vacasa buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Vacasa positions.
Check out Vacasa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vacasa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vacasa Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Vacasa |
Execute Vacasa Buy or Sell Advice
The Vacasa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vacasa Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vacasa Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vacasa's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vacasa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vacasa Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vacasa Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vacasa Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds 25.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Vacasa Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vacasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (298.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 495.95 M. | |
| Vacasa Inc currently holds about 319.25 M in cash with (51.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.41. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of Vacasa outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SHAREHOLDER NOTICE Halper Sadeh LLC Investigates OMIC, MRNS, VCSA on Behalf of Shareholders |
Vacasa Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vacasa's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vacasa's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vacasa daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vacasa Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vacasa returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vacasa.
| Mean Return | 1.20 | Value At Risk | -6.18 | Potential Upside | 14.37 | Standard Deviation | 6.50 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vacasa historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vacasa Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Pathstone Holdings Llc | 2024-09-30 | 147.1 K | Kemnay Advisory Services Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 126.5 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 92.6 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 79.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 78.6 K | Guggenheim Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 61.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 53.5 K | Castleknight Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 52.1 K | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 49.1 K | Silver Lake Group, L.l.c. | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Oaktree Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M |
Vacasa Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (12.7M) | (114.6M) | (108.2M) | (15.1M) | (17.3M) | (18.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 81.5M | 228.1M | (199.5M) | (93.8M) | (84.4M) | (80.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (11.9M) | 52.0M | (70.5M) | (64.4M) | (58.0M) | (55.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 34.3M | 61.3M | 83.3M | 78.2M | 90.0M | 59.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 18.1M | 29.4M | 192.0M | 240.2M | 276.2M | 290.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.5M | 11.2M | 18.6M | 12.7M | 11.4M | 11.8M | |
| Net Income | (92.3M) | (154.6M) | (332.1M) | (298.7M) | (268.8M) | (282.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 291.0M | 519.1M | 319.7M | 225.8M | 259.7M | 344.3M |
Vacasa Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vacasa or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vacasa's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vacasa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Vacasa Volatility Alert
Vacasa Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vacasa's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vacasa's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vacasa Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vacasa's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vacasa's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vacasa and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vacasa or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vacasa's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vacasa by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vacasa to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vacasa | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.86 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0677 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.10) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 83.94 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 15.73 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 681.15 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.63 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 495.95 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (426.87 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (298.7 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 319.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 25.87 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (51.71 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.75 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.02) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 114.23 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 663.55 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.24 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (156.98 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 663.55 M |
Note: Disposition of 550000 shares by Mossytree Inc. of Vacasa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vacasa Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vacasa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vacasa Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vacasa Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Vacasa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vacasa in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now
Restaurants
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vacasa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vacasa. If investors know Vacasa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vacasa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Earnings Share (7.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Vacasa Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vacasa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vacasa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vacasa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vacasa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vacasa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vacasa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vacasa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vacasa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.